WTXS51 PGTW 312100 WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 180131200702 2018013118 07S CEBILE 020 01 290 03 SATL 020 T000 155S 0770E 110 R064 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 160 SE QD 155 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 156S 0762E 105 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 185 SE QD 170 SW QD 120 NW QD T024 160S 0756E 105 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 180 SE QD 165 SW QD 115 NW QD T036 167S 0755E 100 R064 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 115 NW QD T048 175S 0760E 100 R064 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 165 SE QD 160 SW QD 120 NW QD T072 191S 0783E 090 R064 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 115 NW QD T096 212S 0802E 070 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 195 SE QD 145 SW QD 115 NW QD T120 240S 0815E 060 R050 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 195 SE QD 165 SW QD 115 NW QD AMP 120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 020 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z --- NEAR 15.5S 77.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S 77.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 15.6S 76.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 16.0S 75.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 16.7S 75.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 17.5S 76.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 19.1S 78.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 21.2S 80.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 24.0S 81.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 312100Z POSITION NEAR 15.5S 76.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 569 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z. // 0718012412 93S 792E 15 0718012418 93S 795E 15 0718012500 93S 798E 20 0718012506 93S 801E 25 0718012512 96S 807E 30 0718012518 98S 814E 30 0718012600 102S 821E 30 0718012606 103S 826E 30 0718012612 103S 831E 30 0718012618 105S 843E 30 0718012700 107S 847E 30 0718012706 110S 848E 35 0718012712 114S 848E 35 0718012718 118S 848E 45 0718012800 126S 846E 65 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013118 155S 770E 110 0718013118 155S 770E 110 0718013118 155S 770E 110