WTXS51 PGTW 310300 WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 180131014444 2018013100 07S CEBILE 017 01 260 07 SATL 010 T000 160S 0781E 120 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 110 NW QD T012 160S 0769E 125 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 160 SE QD 155 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 161S 0761E 130 R064 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 170 SE QD 165 SW QD 115 NW QD T036 165S 0756E 130 R064 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 110 NW QD T048 172S 0752E 125 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 175 SE QD 165 SW QD 115 NW QD T072 185S 0758E 105 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 095 SE QD 090 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 165 SE QD 155 SW QD 125 NW QD T096 206S 0783E 090 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 115 NW QD T120 239S 0807E 070 R064 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 215 SE QD 160 SW QD 125 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 017 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 16.0S 78.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S 78.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.0S 76.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.1S 76.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.5S 75.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.2S 75.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 18.5S 75.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 20.6S 78.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 23.9S 80.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 16.0S 77.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 627 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. // 0718012412 93S 792E 15 0718012418 93S 795E 15 0718012500 93S 798E 20 0718012506 93S 801E 25 0718012512 96S 807E 30 0718012518 98S 814E 30 0718012600 102S 821E 30 0718012606 103S 826E 30 0718012612 103S 831E 30 0718012618 105S 843E 30 0718012700 107S 847E 30 0718012706 110S 848E 35 0718012712 114S 848E 35 0718012718 118S 848E 45 0718012800 126S 846E 65 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013100 160S 781E 120 0718013100 160S 781E 120 0718013100 160S 781E 120