WTXS52 PGTW 081500 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 180108133806 2018010812 04S IRVING 011 02 230 15 SATL 050 T000 185S 0783E 090 R064 030 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 105 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 190 SE QD 180 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 204S 0753E 080 R064 025 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 105 SE QD 085 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 220 SE QD 190 SW QD 105 NW QD T024 229S 0724E 075 R064 020 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 105 SE QD 075 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 240 SE QD 195 SW QD 105 NW QD T036 257S 0700E 070 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 220 SE QD 175 SW QD 110 NW QD T048 299S 0696E 055 R050 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 045 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 205 SE QD 125 SW QD 095 NW QD T072 403S 0748E 040 R034 265 NE QD 275 SE QD 330 SW QD 305 NW QD AMP 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (IRVING) WARNING NR 011 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (IRVING) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z --- NEAR 18.5S 78.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S 78.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 20.4S 75.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 22.9S 72.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 25.7S 70.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 29.9S 69.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 40.3S 74.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 330 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 305 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 081500Z POSITION NEAR 19.0S 77.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (IRVING), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 763 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 0418010406 98S 947E 20 0418010412 101S 946E 20 0418010418 104S 944E 20 0418010500 107S 940E 20 0418010506 112S 938E 25 0418010512 119S 933E 25 0418010518 123S 925E 30 0418010600 125S 916E 35 0418010606 126S 904E 35 0418010612 128S 893E 40 0418010618 129S 882E 45 0418010700 134S 870E 55 0418010700 134S 870E 55 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010712 148S 842E 75 0418010712 148S 842E 75 0418010712 148S 842E 75 0418010718 158S 830E 90 0418010718 158S 830E 90 0418010718 158S 830E 90 0418010800 167S 813E 90 0418010800 167S 813E 90 0418010800 167S 813E 90 0418010806 176S 795E 90 0418010806 176S 795E 90 0418010806 176S 795E 90 0418010812 185S 783E 90 0418010812 185S 783E 90 0418010812 185S 783E 90