WTNT82 EGRR 281604



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 28.10.2017



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18L        ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N  83.3W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 28.10.2017    0  20.1N  83.3W     1005            31

    0000UTC 29.10.2017   12  22.3N  81.8W     1002            33

    1200UTC 29.10.2017   24  25.2N  78.5W      999            38

    0000UTC 30.10.2017   36  30.2N  73.8W      991            43

    1200UTC 30.10.2017   48  36.8N  68.2W      985            58

    0000UTC 31.10.2017   60  47.8N  66.5W      976            52

    1200UTC 31.10.2017   72              CEASED TRACKING



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION SELMA      ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N  88.6W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 28.10.2017    0  13.4N  88.6W     1006            26

    0000UTC 29.10.2017   12              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 29.9N  39.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 01.11.2017   84  30.7N  38.5W     1006            34

    1200UTC 01.11.2017   96  30.5N  41.0W     1002            40

    0000UTC 02.11.2017  108  30.0N  41.7W     1000            39

    1200UTC 02.11.2017  120  30.3N  43.2W     1000            35

    0000UTC 03.11.2017  132  31.1N  45.2W     1000            34

    1200UTC 03.11.2017  144  31.5N  47.6W     1000            34





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 281604