WTNT82 EGRR 271605 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 27.10.2017 TROPICAL STORM SELMA ANALYSED POSITION : 10.3N 89.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 27.10.2017 0 10.3N 89.4W 1003 38 0000UTC 28.10.2017 12 12.0N 88.9W 1000 44 1200UTC 28.10.2017 24 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 23.4N 81.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 29.10.2017 36 23.4N 81.2W 1001 36 1200UTC 29.10.2017 48 25.5N 78.7W 998 36 0000UTC 30.10.2017 60 29.8N 74.0W 994 43 1200UTC 30.10.2017 72 35.2N 68.5W 990 54 0000UTC 31.10.2017 84 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 34.8N 75.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 30.10.2017 60 37.5N 73.2W 983 53 1200UTC 30.10.2017 72 46.5N 73.5W 984 37 0000UTC 31.10.2017 84 52.8N 75.7W 980 41 1200UTC 31.10.2017 96 54.8N 77.1W 967 51 0000UTC 01.11.2017 108 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 31.5N 39.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 31.10.2017 96 32.2N 37.8W 1004 34 0000UTC 01.11.2017 108 34.4N 36.8W 1000 40 1200UTC 01.11.2017 120 34.1N 39.8W 997 42 0000UTC 02.11.2017 132 33.6N 40.8W 994 49 1200UTC 02.11.2017 144 33.2N 43.6W 995 38 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 271605