WTNT82 EGRR 151605



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 15.10.2017



             HURRICANE OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 40.2N  16.7W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 15.10.2017    0  40.2N  16.7W      960            80

    0000UTC 16.10.2017   12  47.7N  14.0W      956            67

    1200UTC 16.10.2017   24  52.4N  10.1W      958            56

    0000UTC 17.10.2017   36              POST-TROPICAL



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 30.3N  68.7W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.10.2017   48  31.6N  67.5W     1008            43

    0000UTC 18.10.2017   60  34.1N  63.6W     1000            48

    1200UTC 18.10.2017   72  36.7N  58.6W     1002            46

    0000UTC 19.10.2017   84  39.2N  50.8W     1003            48

    1200UTC 19.10.2017   96              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 33.9N  60.9W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 21.10.2017  132  33.9N  60.9W     1008            34

    1200UTC 21.10.2017  144  35.3N  54.8W     1009            39





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 151605