WTNT82 EGRR 100403



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 10.10.2017



        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N  39.1W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 10.10.2017    0  32.0N  39.1W     1003            41

    1200UTC 10.10.2017   12  31.9N  38.9W      997            41

    0000UTC 11.10.2017   24  31.1N  38.5W      994            46

    1200UTC 11.10.2017   36  30.0N  37.8W      990            48

    0000UTC 12.10.2017   48  29.7N  36.8W      988            49

    1200UTC 12.10.2017   60  30.3N  36.3W      985            54

    0000UTC 13.10.2017   72  31.3N  36.1W      982            57

    1200UTC 13.10.2017   84  31.9N  35.2W      979            57

    0000UTC 14.10.2017   96  32.3N  33.1W      976            63

    1200UTC 14.10.2017  108  32.8N  30.0W      969            65

    0000UTC 15.10.2017  120  33.3N  26.0W      967            68

    1200UTC 15.10.2017  132  34.4N  21.8W      962            81

    0000UTC 16.10.2017  144  35.8N  17.2W      975            65



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.3N 144.6W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 10.10.2017   12  10.3N 144.6W     1006            24

    0000UTC 11.10.2017   24  11.2N 145.5W     1004            33

    1200UTC 11.10.2017   36  12.9N 146.2W     1004            28

    0000UTC 12.10.2017   48  14.2N 147.3W     1003            34

    1200UTC 12.10.2017   60  14.7N 149.0W     1005            27

    0000UTC 13.10.2017   72  14.8N 150.9W     1006            24

    1200UTC 13.10.2017   84  15.0N 153.0W     1007            27

    0000UTC 14.10.2017   96              CEASED TRACKING





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 100403