WTNT80 EGRR 100403 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.10.2017 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N 39.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2017 32.0N 39.1W WEAK 12UTC 10.10.2017 31.9N 38.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2017 31.1N 38.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2017 30.0N 37.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2017 29.7N 36.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2017 30.3N 36.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2017 31.3N 36.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2017 31.9N 35.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2017 32.3N 33.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2017 32.8N 30.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2017 33.3N 26.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2017 34.4N 21.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2017 35.8N 17.2W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.3N 144.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2017 10.3N 144.6W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2017 11.2N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2017 12.9N 146.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2017 14.2N 147.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2017 14.7N 149.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2017 14.8N 150.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2017 15.0N 153.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100403