WTNT82 EGRR 071605



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 07.10.2017



             HURRICANE NATE       ANALYSED POSITION : 25.6N  87.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 07.10.2017    0  25.6N  87.9W      979            65

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   12  28.8N  89.7W      979            58

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   24  31.4N  88.1W      984            38

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   36  35.2N  86.0W      995            22

    1200UTC 09.10.2017   48  39.7N  79.9W     1002            22

    0000UTC 10.10.2017   60  42.7N  72.9W     1005            35

    1200UTC 10.10.2017   72  45.2N  64.8W     1007            30

    0000UTC 11.10.2017   84              CEASED TRACKING



 TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 32.2N  39.9W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 07.10.2017    0  32.2N  39.9W     1011            34

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   12  31.5N  39.8W     1010            30

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   24  30.6N  40.6W     1011            28

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   36  30.5N  41.5W     1012            25

    1200UTC 09.10.2017   48  30.9N  42.4W     1015            22

    0000UTC 10.10.2017   60  31.5N  43.5W     1016            22

    1200UTC 10.10.2017   72              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 :  8.7N  31.0W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 10.10.2017   60   8.7N  31.0W     1009            30

    1200UTC 10.10.2017   72   9.1N  34.0W     1007            37

    0000UTC 11.10.2017   84  10.2N  37.5W     1006            37

    1200UTC 11.10.2017   96  10.3N  41.3W     1003            40

    0000UTC 12.10.2017  108  10.5N  44.5W      998            50

    1200UTC 12.10.2017  120  11.1N  47.3W      992            57

    0000UTC 13.10.2017  132  12.0N  49.9W      986            65

    1200UTC 13.10.2017  144  12.9N  52.5W      985            67





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 071605