WTNT40 LIJR 270818 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) *************************************************** * GREEN ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA-15 * *************************************************** SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA-15 CAN HAVE A LOW HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 9. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 120.37 KM/H) -ON 27 AUG 2015 03:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS N/A -VULNERABILITY: HIGH EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000203/RAIN_1000203_9.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 1.7 M IN RED BAY (THE BAHAMAS). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 8/30/2015 11:00:00 PM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -49.40/14.60 3 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -51.00/15.20 4 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 93 N/A -52.80/15.60 5 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -54.40/16.00 6 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -56.00/16.10 7 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -57.60/16.10 8 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -58.90/16.60 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -60.20/16.70 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -62.30/17.40 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -65.00/18.60 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -67.90/20.00 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -70.50/21.20 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 103 N/A -75.00/23.50 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 103 121 N/A -78.30/26.00 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 08:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 121 149 N/A -79.30/28.50 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 9 OF 27 AUG 2015 03:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 30 AUG 2015 23:00 RED BAY THE BAHAMAS 1.7 31 AUG 2015 00:00 NEW TOWN THE BAHAMAS 1.4 31 AUG 2015 03:00 HOLMES ROCK THE BAHAMAS 1.2 31 AUG 2015 03:00 SOUTHWEST PO THE BAHAMAS 0.9 31 AUG 2015 03:00 HAWKSBILL THE BAHAMAS 0.9 31 AUG 2015 03:00 MARS BAY THE BAHAMAS 0.9 31 AUG 2015 03:00 KEMPS BAY THE BAHAMAS 0.9 31 AUG 2015 03:00 THE BLUFF THE BAHAMAS 0.9 31 AUG 2015 03:00 CONGO TOWN THE BAHAMAS 0.9 31 AUG 2015 03:00 FREEPORT THE BAHAMAS 0.8 31 AUG 2015 03:00 HOPE ESTATE THE BAHAMAS 0.8 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000203$AND;EPISODEID=9 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001