WTNT40 LIJR 201718 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) **************************************************** * ORANGE ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DANNY-15 * **************************************************** SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE DANNY-15 CAN HAVE A MEDIUM HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 9. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 120.37 KM/H) -ON 20 AUG 2015 15:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS 400 K -VULNERABILITY: MEDIUM EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000199/RAIN_1000199_9.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 0.6 M IN BARNES HILL (ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 8/24/2015 12:00:00 PM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 65 84 N/A -37.50/10.90 3 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 84 103 N/A -38.80/11.20 4 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 84 103 N/A -40.20/11.30 5 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 84 103 N/A -41.10/11.20 6 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 84 103 N/A -42.00/11.50 7 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 84 103 N/A -42.70/12.10 8 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 103 N/A -43.70/12.20 9 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 121 149 N/A -44.80/12.50 9 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 131 159 N/A -46.00/13.10 9 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 168 N/A -47.60/14.00 9 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 168 N/A -49.40/14.70 9 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 131 159 N/A -51.50/15.20 9 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 121 149 2K -56.40/16.00 9 ORANGE 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 121 149 420 K -61.70/16.90 9 GREEN 20 AUG 2015 17:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 103 121 N/A -66.60/18.00 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 9 OF 20 AUG 2015 15:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 24 AUG 2015 12:00 BARNES HILL ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.6 24 AUG 2015 12:00 POTTERS VILL ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 SAINT JOHNST ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 OSBOURN ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 WILLIKIES ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 CEDAR GROVE ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 BOONS BAY ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 NEWFIELD ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 ENGLISH HARB ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 COBBS CROSS ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 24 AUG 2015 12:00 HALF MOON BA ANTIGUA AND BARBUD 0.4 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000199$AND;EPISODEID=9 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001