Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
19 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Japan, South Korea
Exposed population 930 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 252 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.9 m (18 Sep 21:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 252 km/h 1.9 m 1118 mm 1.5
HWRF Overall 252 km/h 1.9 m 1118 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

252 km/h

Up to 930 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Japan20,454 
CAT. 2Japan38,109 
CAT. 1Japan869,985 
Tropical StormJapan, South Korea36,487,392
+
Japan34,174,083 
South Korea2,313,309 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 86 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 169 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 223 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 252 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 245 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 17 Sep 2022 00:00 241 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 19 17 Sep 2022 06:00 245 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 20 17 Sep 2022 12:00 220 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 21 17 Sep 2022 18:00 209 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 22 18 Sep 2022 00:00 194 80 thousand
- - Japan
GREEN 23 18 Sep 2022 06:00 176 290 thousand
- - - Japan, South Korea
GREEN 24 18 Sep 2022 12:00 140 150 thousand
- - - - South Korea, Japan
GREEN 25 18 Sep 2022 18:00 115 -
- - - - - South Korea, Japan
GREEN 26 19 Sep 2022 00:00 101 -
- - - - - South Korea, Japan
GREEN 27 19 Sep 2022 06:00 104 -
- - - - - South Korea, Japan
GREEN 28 19 Sep 2022 12:00 158 490 thousand
- - - - Japan, South Korea
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmJapan1,881 
500-750 mmJapan17,527 
250-500 mmJapan646,769 
100-250 mmJapan6,499,769 
50-100 mmJapan, South Korea12,856,870
+
Japan12,422,152 
South Korea434,718 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 350 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 226 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 303 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 331 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 335 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 17 Sep 2022 00:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 17 Sep 2022 06:00 295 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 20 17 Sep 2022 12:00 235 Few people
- - - - Japan
Blue 21 17 Sep 2022 18:00 219 1 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 22 18 Sep 2022 00:00 290 70 thousand
- - - Japan
Blue 23 18 Sep 2022 06:00 289 620 thousand
- - - Japan
Blue 24 18 Sep 2022 12:00 203 320 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 25 18 Sep 2022 18:00 155 70 thousand
- - - - South Korea, Japan
Blue 26 19 Sep 2022 00:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 27 19 Sep 2022 06:00 144 8 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 28 19 Sep 2022 12:00 266 200 thousand
- - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mChina, Japan2,404,336
+
Japan548,437 
China1,855,898 
0.5 - 1.0 mChina, North Korea, South Korea, Japan4,495,955
+
Japan653,829 
China3,314,780 
North Korea229,025 
South Korea298,320 
0.25 - 0.5 mRussia, Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Philippines7,747,390
+
Russia702 
Japan3,269,521 
China3,701,787 
North Korea49,156 
South Korea138,938 
Taiwan53,038 
Hong Kong135,986 
Philippines398,257 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC