Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MALAKAS-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MALAKAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (10 Apr 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.6 m 271 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 119 km/h 1.0 m 783 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPhilippines17,253 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Apr 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Apr 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Apr 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Apr 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - North Korea
GREEN 6 09 Apr 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Apr 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 10 Apr 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines15,950 
100-250 mmJapan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines, Micronesia1,751,383
+
Japan1,031,215 
Northern Mariana Islands2,567 
Guam169,884 
Philippines546,684 
Micronesia1,031 
50-100 mmChina, South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau1,965,193
+
China496,193 
South Korea19,150 
Japan881,627 
Philippines542,291 
Micronesia15,092 
Palau10,837 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Apr 2022 12:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Apr 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 331 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 4 08 Apr 2022 00:00 252 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 5 08 Apr 2022 12:00 165 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 6 09 Apr 2022 00:00 219 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 7 09 Apr 2022 12:00 269 30 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 8 10 Apr 2022 00:00 1008 1.8 million
- - - China, South Korea, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC