Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MALAKAS-22
Off-shore
12 Apr 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MALAKAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 2 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (12 Apr 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 126 km/h 0.5 m 118 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 1.2 m 890 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

148 km/h

Up to 2 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Apr 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan2,043 
Tropical StormJapan655 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Apr 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Apr 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Apr 2022 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 08 Apr 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Apr 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Apr 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Apr 2022 18:00 86 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 9 09 Apr 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan, Micronesia
GREEN 10 09 Apr 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Apr 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 12 09 Apr 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 13 10 Apr 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 14 10 Apr 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 15 10 Apr 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 16 10 Apr 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 11 Apr 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Apr 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Apr 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Apr 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 12 Apr 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 12 Apr 2022 06:00 155 2 thousand
- - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Apr 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan, Philippines, Micronesia12,473
+
Japan2,481 
Philippines9,938 
Micronesia52 
50-100 mmJapan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines, Marshall Islands, Micronesia728,954
+
Japan217 
Northern Mariana Islands1,022 
Guam169,884 
Philippines537,480 
Marshall Islands12,641 
Micronesia7,707 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Apr 2022 00:00 113 40 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 2 07 Apr 2022 06:00 248 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 295 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 07 Apr 2022 18:00 230 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 08 Apr 2022 00:00 153 -
- - - - - Micronesia
Blue 6 08 Apr 2022 06:00 198 -
- - - - - Micronesia
Blue 7 08 Apr 2022 12:00 249 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 8 08 Apr 2022 18:00 231 1 thousand
- - - - Micronesia
Blue 9 09 Apr 2022 00:00 209 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 10 09 Apr 2022 06:00 277 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 11 09 Apr 2022 12:00 244 30 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 12 09 Apr 2022 18:00 173 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 13 10 Apr 2022 00:00 156 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 14 10 Apr 2022 06:00 229 7 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 15 10 Apr 2022 12:00 227 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Apr 2022 18:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 11 Apr 2022 00:00 138 4 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 18 11 Apr 2022 06:00 103 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 19 11 Apr 2022 12:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 11 Apr 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 12 Apr 2022 00:00 95 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 22 12 Apr 2022 06:00 527 10 thousand
- - - - Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines, Marshall Islands, Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Apr 2022 06:00 UTC