Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MALAKAS-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MALAKAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (11 Apr 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.7 m 131 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 119 km/h 1.0 m 783 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, Philippines4,468
+
Japan1,066 
Philippines3,402 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Apr 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Apr 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Apr 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Apr 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - North Korea
GREEN 6 09 Apr 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Apr 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 10 Apr 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 9 10 Apr 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 10 11 Apr 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Apr 2022 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Japan, Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPhilippines, Micronesia180,869
+
Philippines180,376 
Micronesia492 
50-100 mmSouth Korea, Japan, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau2,244,445
+
South Korea414,443 
Japan925,379 
Philippines843,758 
Micronesia49,830 
Palau11,033 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Apr 2022 12:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Apr 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 331 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 4 08 Apr 2022 00:00 252 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 5 08 Apr 2022 12:00 165 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 6 09 Apr 2022 00:00 219 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 7 09 Apr 2022 12:00 269 30 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 8 10 Apr 2022 00:00 271 40 thousand
- - - Philippines
Blue 9 10 Apr 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 11 Apr 2022 00:00 150 Few people
- - - - Japan
Blue 11 11 Apr 2022 12:00 778 180 thousand
- - - - South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC