Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MALAKAS-22
Off-shore
16 Apr 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MALAKAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, Philippines, Micronesia
Exposed population 2 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (08 Apr 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 148 km/h 1.2 m 890 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 1.2 m 890 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

148 km/h

Up to 2 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan2,481 
Tropical StormJapan, Philippines, Micronesia168,567
+
Japan43,948 
Philippines122,067 
Micronesia2,551 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Apr 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Apr 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Apr 2022 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 08 Apr 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Apr 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Apr 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Apr 2022 18:00 86 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 9 09 Apr 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan, Micronesia
GREEN 10 09 Apr 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Apr 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 12 09 Apr 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 13 10 Apr 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 14 10 Apr 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 15 10 Apr 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 16 10 Apr 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 11 Apr 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Apr 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Apr 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Apr 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 12 Apr 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 12 Apr 2022 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 12 Apr 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 12 Apr 2022 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 13 Apr 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 13 Apr 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 13 Apr 2022 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 13 Apr 2022 18:00 148 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 29 14 Apr 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 30 14 Apr 2022 06:00 137 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 31 14 Apr 2022 12:00 133 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 32 14 Apr 2022 18:00 130 2 thousand
- - - - Japan
GREEN 33 15 Apr 2022 00:00 122 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 34 15 Apr 2022 06:00 108 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 35 15 Apr 2022 12:00 108 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 36 15 Apr 2022 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 16 Apr 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmPhilippines01 
500-750 mmPhilippines, Micronesia277,990
+
Philippines276,495 
Micronesia1,495 
250-500 mmPhilippines, Micronesia625,000
+
Philippines616,949 
Micronesia8,051 
100-250 mmRussia, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines, Micronesia, Marshall Islands, Palau2,796,231
+
Russia3,183 
Japan665,447 
Northern Mariana Islands55,070 
Guam169,884 
Philippines1,788,055 
Marshall Islands3,645 
Micronesia91,654 
Palau19,290 
50-100 mmRussia, Japan, South Korea, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Philippines, Palau, Indonesia19,637,445
+
Russia27,126 
Japan15,438,905 
South Korea90,640 
Philippines3,921,956 
Marshall Islands12,205 
Micronesia2,955 
Palau1,795 
Indonesia141,858 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Apr 2022 00:00 113 40 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 2 07 Apr 2022 06:00 248 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 295 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 07 Apr 2022 18:00 230 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 08 Apr 2022 00:00 153 -
- - - - - Micronesia
Blue 6 08 Apr 2022 06:00 198 -
- - - - - Micronesia
Blue 7 08 Apr 2022 12:00 249 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 8 08 Apr 2022 18:00 231 1 thousand
- - - - Micronesia
Blue 9 09 Apr 2022 00:00 209 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 10 09 Apr 2022 06:00 277 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 11 09 Apr 2022 12:00 244 30 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 12 09 Apr 2022 18:00 173 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 13 10 Apr 2022 00:00 156 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 14 10 Apr 2022 06:00 229 7 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 15 10 Apr 2022 12:00 227 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Apr 2022 18:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 11 Apr 2022 00:00 138 4 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 18 11 Apr 2022 06:00 103 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 19 11 Apr 2022 12:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 11 Apr 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 12 Apr 2022 00:00 95 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 22 12 Apr 2022 06:00 118 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 23 12 Apr 2022 12:00 121 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 24 12 Apr 2022 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 13 Apr 2022 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 13 Apr 2022 06:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 13 Apr 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 13 Apr 2022 18:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 14 Apr 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 14 Apr 2022 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 14 Apr 2022 12:00 129 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 32 14 Apr 2022 18:00 96 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 33 15 Apr 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 34 15 Apr 2022 06:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 15 Apr 2022 12:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 15 Apr 2022 18:00 70 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 16 Apr 2022 00:00 106 -
- - - - - Russia, Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.2 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mRussia, South Korea13,438
+
Russia12,741 
South Korea696 
0.5 - 1.0 mRussia, Japan, North Korea, South Korea838,723
+
Russia9,470 
Japan478,406 
North Korea58,035 
South Korea292,810 
0.25 - 0.5 mRussia, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Philippines, Indonesia4,571,688
+
Russia21,657 
Japan3,643,385 
North Korea88,702 
South Korea274,014 
Philippines515,628 
Indonesia28,299 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC