Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ETAU-26 Off-shore from 27 Aug 2026 00:00 UTC to 30 Aug 2026 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ETAU-26

Off-shore

30 Aug 2026 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ETAU-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	79 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (02 Sep 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	79 km/h	0.3 m	153 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	148 km/h	0.5 m	465 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

148 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2026 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	27 Aug 2026 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Aug 2026 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	27 Aug 2026 12:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	27 Aug 2026 18:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Aug 2026 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	28 Aug 2026 06:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	28 Aug 2026 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	28 Aug 2026 18:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	29 Aug 2026 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	29 Aug 2026 06:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Aug 2026 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	29 Aug 2026 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Aug 2026 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	30 Aug 2026 06:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	30 Aug 2026 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	30 Aug 2026 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2026 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Marshall Islands, Micronesia	4,728	+
	Marshall Islands	381
	Micronesia	4,181
	Other countries	164

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	27 Aug 2026 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Aug 2026 06:00	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	27 Aug 2026 12:00	203	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	27 Aug 2026 18:00	201	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	28 Aug 2026 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	28 Aug 2026 06:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	28 Aug 2026 12:00	113	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	28 Aug 2026 18:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	29 Aug 2026 00:00	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	29 Aug 2026 06:00	146	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Aug 2026 12:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	29 Aug 2026 18:00	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Aug 2026 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	30 Aug 2026 06:00	111	-		-	-	-	-	-	Other countries, Micronesia
15	30 Aug 2026 12:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	30 Aug 2026 18:00	297	-		-	-	-	-	-	Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Other countries

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Severgino, Russia. This height is estimated for 02 Sep 2026 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Aug 2026 18:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Sep 2026 13:15	Severgino	Russia	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 14:00	Makarovka	Russia	0.3
	31 Aug 2026 01:45	Podgornyy	Russia	0.3
	31 Aug 2026 02:30	Kompaneysk	Russia	0.3
	31 Aug 2026 02:30	Ryabinovka	Russia	0.3
	31 Aug 2026 02:30	Kastrikum	Russia	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 13:15	Onekotan	Russia	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 13:45	Sarychevo	Russia	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 14:00	Kraternyy	Russia	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 13:45	Kitoboynyy	Russia	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 13:45	Kostochko	Russia	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 13:45	Medvezhye	Russia	0.2
	01 Sep 2026 07:45	Ronkiti	Micronesia	0.2
	01 Sep 2026 07:45	Palikir	Micronesia	0.2
	01 Sep 2026 08:15	Kaven	Marshall Islands	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 07:45	Kolonia	Micronesia	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 07:45	Lot	Micronesia	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 07:45	Metalanim	Micronesia	0.2
	30 Aug 2026 19:15	Wotje	Marshall Islands	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 04:00	Aleutka	Russia	0.2

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.