Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DOUGLAS-26 Off-shore from 01 Jul 2026 09:00 UTC to 03 Jul 2026 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DOUGLAS-26

Off-shore

02 Jul 2026 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOUGLAS-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	68 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (05 Jul 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	68 km/h	0.4 m	156 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	0.4 m	279 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	30 Jun 2026 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	01 Jul 2026 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	01 Jul 2026 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	02 Jul 2026 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	02 Jul 2026 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	30 Jun 2026 12:00	204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	01 Jul 2026 00:00	135	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	01 Jul 2026 12:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	02 Jul 2026 00:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	02 Jul 2026 12:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Jul 2026 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
0.25 - 0.5 m	Mexico	4,655	+
	Mexico	4,642
	Other countries	13

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Jul 2026 03:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.4
	01 Jul 2026 05:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.4
	01 Jul 2026 05:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.4
	01 Jul 2026 05:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.4
	01 Jul 2026 05:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.4
	01 Jul 2026 05:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.4
	05 Jul 2026 03:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.4
	01 Jul 2026 05:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.4
	01 Jul 2026 05:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.3
	03 Jul 2026 01:45	La Playa	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2026 05:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2026 05:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2026 06:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2026 06:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2026 06:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.3
	05 Jul 2026 03:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2026 23:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2026 05:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:45	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2026 05:45	Pismo Beach	United States	0.2
	02 Jul 2026 05:45	Oceano	United States	0.2
	02 Jul 2026 05:45	Grover City	United States	0.2
	02 Jul 2026 05:45	Callender	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Montecito	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Summerland	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Serena Park	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Franciscan Village	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Carpinteria	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Rincon	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Shepards	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Punta	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Faria	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Malibu	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Monte Nido	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Las Flores	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Castellammare	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Pacific Palisades	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Santa Monica	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Sawtelle	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Marina del Rey	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Playa del Rey	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Alsace	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	El Segundo	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Manhattan Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Hermosa Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Clifton	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Redondo Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Surfside	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Newport Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Cliff Haven	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Bay Shores	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Balboa	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	San Pedro	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Wilmington	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:00	Dulah	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Mission	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:45	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:45	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Hope Ranch	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:45	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:45	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Naples	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Coromar	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Isla Vista	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Goleta	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	El Nido	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Malibu Bowl	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:00	San Buenaventura	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:00	Ventura	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:00	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Corona del Mar	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Crystal Cove	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	San Joaquin Hills	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Emerald Bay	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Laguna Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Canyon Acres	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Top of the World	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	South Laguna	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Las Cruces	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Gaviota	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Lento	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Tajiguas	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Capitan	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	San Augustine	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Sacate	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:45	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Azure Vista	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Roseville	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	San Diego	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Coronado	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Imperial Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Boal	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Point Dume	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Malibu Vista	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:30	Palos Verdes Estates	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:30	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:30	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:30	Rolling Hills	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:45	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2026 05:45	Narlon	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Avalon	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Two Harbors	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:30	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Oxnard	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Capistrano Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	San Clemente	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Agra	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Concepcion	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Sycamore	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Solromar	United States	0.2
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Malibu West	United States	0.2
	30 Jun 2026 21:30	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:30	Sudden	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:30	Jalama	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:30	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Stuart	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Fallbrook Junction	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Camp Pendleton South	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Escondido Junction	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Oceanside	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Carlsbad	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Ponto	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Leucadia	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Encinitas	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Cardiff-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Solana Beach	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Green Valley Mobile Estates	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Del Mar	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Sorrento	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 20:30	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 20:30	Mission Beach	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 20:30	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 20:30	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:30	El Descanso	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:45	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	La Jolla	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	The Muirlands	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:15	Easter Cross	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 22:00	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2026 05:45	Tangair	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 22:00	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Arguello	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:15	Honda	United States	0.1
	02 Jul 2026 05:45	Surf	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:30	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:30	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2026 21:30	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:30	La Mision	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2026 03:30	Encino Solo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2026 02:15	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2026 02:15	Ojo de Liebre	Mexico	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
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