Meteorological source:
Tropical Cyclone SIXTEEN-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)
Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above
See TC classification SSHS
The maximum Storm surge height is 1.1m in Mission Bay, New Zealand. This height is estimated for 21 Jan 2026 15:15 UTC .
The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.