Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (05 Nov 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 55 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.3 m 280 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Nov 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Nov 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 04 Nov 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 04 Nov 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Nov 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 05 Nov 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia2,537,844 
50-100 mmIndonesia41,213,328 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Nov 2022 18:00 32 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 04 Nov 2022 00:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 04 Nov 2022 06:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 04 Nov 2022 12:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 04 Nov 2022 18:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 05 Nov 2022 00:00 202 2.5 million
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Kepoh, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 05 Nov 2022 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Nov 2022 00:45 Kepoh Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 00:45 Tukak Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 00:45 Penoetoek Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 00:45 Gunung Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 00:30 Merak Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 00:30 Domas Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 01:00 Pangkalpinang Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 01:00 Batoebeloebang Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 01:00 Namang Indonesia  0.3
05 Nov 2022 01:30 Koba Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 01:30 Perlang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:45 Tandjunglabu Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:45 Bakong Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 01:30 Lubuk-besar Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Nasik Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Petaling Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Tandjungpandan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Losan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:45 Batubetumpang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:00 Lait Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Suakgual Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 01:15 Sagu Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Padang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Manggar Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Lipatkadjang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:00 Tandjungbinga Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 02:00 Radjik Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 02:45 Sidjuk Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:45 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Kekatang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Menango Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Tarahan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 02:00 Sungaipadang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:15 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 00:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Guring Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 03:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:15 Keludin Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:45 Tipar Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 00:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 00:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Medielang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Muntok Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Belo Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Anjai Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:00 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Sungsang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:45 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:45 Kalianda Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Pedes Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 00:00 Tempilang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Tandjungniur Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Airdikit Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Bantal Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Pondoklintang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Airberau Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 06:00 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Tiop Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Buriai Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Ipuh Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Ipun Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Pasirganting Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Gati Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 02:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Ketaun Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Serangai Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Penampung Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Pinempet Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Mapoupou Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:45 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:45 Chikalong Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Silaoinan Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Taikaguru Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Seai Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Tapuraukat Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Airrami Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Seblat Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Muaraterusanbunga Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Pasarsebelah Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Mukomuko Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:30 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Bahatmonga Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Beleratsok Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Sigoisooinan Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Patdarai Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:30 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:30 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:30 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:15 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:15 Babadan Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:15 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Maileppet Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Gigitji Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Pasapuat Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:15 Simagandjo Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Kaliet Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Katiet Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 05:00 Beriolou Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:30 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:15 Plotot Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 03:15 Chihara Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Labuhan Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 04:15 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.1