Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAINE-22
Off-shore
05 Oct 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (06 Oct 05:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 346 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 79 km/h 0.3 m 346 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Oct 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Oct 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 04 Oct 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 04 Oct 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Oct 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 05 Oct 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 05 Oct 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 05 Oct 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 05 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Oct 2022 18:00 308 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 04 Oct 2022 00:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 04 Oct 2022 06:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 04 Oct 2022 12:00 21 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 04 Oct 2022 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 05 Oct 2022 00:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 05 Oct 2022 06:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 05 Oct 2022 12:00 221 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Oct 2022 05:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico1,017 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Oct 2022 05:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2022 05:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2022 06:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 04:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 04:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 08:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 08:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 15:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 15:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 15:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 12:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 12:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 03:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 03:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 01:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 10:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 01:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 01:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Clifton United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 San Pedro United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Wilmington United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Signal Hill United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Surfside United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Seal Beach United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 04:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 04:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 04:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 04:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 04:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 04:30 Oxnard United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 04:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 03:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Malibu United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Monte Nido United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Las Flores United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Castellammare United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Pacific Palisades United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Santa Monica United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Sawtelle United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Marina del Rey United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Playa del Rey United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Alsace United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 El Segundo United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Manhattan Beach United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 04:30 Newport Beach United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 03:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 04:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Malibu Vista United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 El Nido United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Malibu Bowl United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 The Muirlands United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Azure Vista United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Ocean Beach United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Mission Beach United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Roseville United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Loma Portal United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 San Diego United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Coronado United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.2
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Boal United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 02:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 16:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 22:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Malibu West United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Point Dume United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 16:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 16:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 16:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Solromar United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 11:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 11:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 04:45 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Sycamore United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 22:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 22:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 22:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Two Harbors United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 22:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 03:45 Avalon United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:45 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:30 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 07:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 03:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 03:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 01:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 01:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 22:30 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 06:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 16:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 13:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 13:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 13:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 11:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 06:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 06:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 16:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 03:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 03:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Bay Shores United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Balboa United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 22:30 El Marques Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 21:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Top of the World United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 South Laguna United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 San Clemente United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Agra United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 11:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 21:15 Joluta Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 05:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 03:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 21:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 02:30 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 05:00 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 05:00 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 05:00 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 05:00 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Stuart United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:30 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 01:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 11:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 05:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 22:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 11:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 09:45 Calvario Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 12:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 12:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 12:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 03:15 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
07 Oct 2022 03:15 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
07 Oct 2022 03:15 Oceanside United States  0.1
07 Oct 2022 03:15 Carlsbad United States  0.1
07 Oct 2022 03:15 Ponto United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 22:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 22:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 22:15 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:00 La Jolla United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:00 Easter Cross United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:00 Sorrento United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 02:45 Leucadia United States  0.1
08 Oct 2022 02:45 Encinitas United States  0.1
08 Oct 2022 02:45 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
08 Oct 2022 02:45 Solana Beach United States  0.1
08 Oct 2022 02:45 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
08 Oct 2022 02:45 Del Mar United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:15 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:00 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:00 La Mision Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 04:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 11:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 12:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 12:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:45 El Real Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:45 Apisa Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:45 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 11:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 03:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:15 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 10:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 10:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 05:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 04:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 22:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 22:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 11:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 04:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 03:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 11:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:45 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 10:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1