Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAINE-22 Off-shore from 03 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC to 05 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC

06 Oct 2022 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	79 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (05 Oct 08:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	79 km/h	0.4 m	331 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	79 km/h	0.4 m	331 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States	798

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	03 Oct 2022 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	04 Oct 2022 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	04 Oct 2022 06:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	04 Oct 2022 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	04 Oct 2022 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	05 Oct 2022 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	05 Oct 2022 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	05 Oct 2022 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	05 Oct 2022 18:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	06 Oct 2022 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	06 Oct 2022 06:00	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	06 Oct 2022 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	281,486
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico	17,302,826	+
	United States	27,318
	Mexico	17,275,507

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	03 Oct 2022 18:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	04 Oct 2022 00:00	192	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	04 Oct 2022 06:00	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	04 Oct 2022 12:00	150	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	04 Oct 2022 18:00	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	05 Oct 2022 00:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	05 Oct 2022 06:00	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	05 Oct 2022 12:00	146	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	05 Oct 2022 18:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	06 Oct 2022 00:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	06 Oct 2022 06:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	06 Oct 2022 12:00	100	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Oct 2022 08:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
0.25 - 0.5 m	Mexico	4,339

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Oct 2022 08:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.4
	05 Oct 2022 08:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	05 Oct 2022 08:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.3
	06 Oct 2022 05:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.3
	06 Oct 2022 05:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.3
	06 Oct 2022 05:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.3
	06 Oct 2022 05:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 03:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 14:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 02:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 20:45	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	El Marques	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	San Pedro	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Wilmington	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Surfside	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 08:45	La Tuza	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	The Muirlands	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Azure Vista	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Ocean Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Mission Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Roseville	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Loma Portal	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	San Diego	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Coronado	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Imperial Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Boal	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Clifton	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Redondo Beach	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Rolling Hills	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	San Buenaventura	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	Marquelia	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Oxnard	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:00	Copala	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	Acapulco	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Las Flores	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Castellammare	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Pacific Palisades	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Santa Monica	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Sawtelle	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Marina del Rey	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Playa del Rey	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Alsace	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	El Segundo	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Manhattan Beach	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Hermosa Beach	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:15	Palos Verdes Estates	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:00	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 16:45	La Playa	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 02:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Sycamore	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 15:00	Newport Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Solromar	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Two Harbors	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Avalon	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Malibu West	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Point Dume	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Malibu Vista	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	El Nido	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Malibu Bowl	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Malibu	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Monte Nido	United States	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Nuxco	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 08:45	El Papayo	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Cliff Haven	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Bay Shores	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Balboa	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Corona del Mar	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Crystal Cove	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	San Joaquin Hills	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Emerald Bay	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Rosarito	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Laguna Beach	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Canyon Acres	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Top of the World	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	South Laguna	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Capistrano Beach	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	San Clemente	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Agra	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Stuart	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Fallbrook Junction	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Camp Pendleton South	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Escondido Junction	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Oceanside	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Carlsbad	United States	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Ponto	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	La Jolla	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Easter Cross	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Sorrento	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:00	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Leucadia	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Encinitas	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 15:45	Green Valley Mobile Estates	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Cardiff-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Solana Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Del Mar	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 02:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 08:45	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 08:45	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 04:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:45	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 02:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	El Descanso	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	La Mision	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:00	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Encino Solo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 16:00	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:15	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 14:45	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 14:45	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 14:30	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 04:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 02:30	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 02:00	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 09:00	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 09:00	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 09:00	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 09:00	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 09:00	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 12:15	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 09:00	Bucerias	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:45	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 22:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 18:15	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 03:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 03:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 12:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 19:00	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 19:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 05:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:15	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 21:30	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 04:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:15	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 09:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:15	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 02:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 02:30	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 23:00	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 03:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1