Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAINE-22
Off-shore
06 Oct 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (03 Oct 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 0.4 m 346 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.4 m 346 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico3,546 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Oct 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 2 03 Oct 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 3 04 Oct 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 04 Oct 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 05 Oct 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 05 Oct 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 06 Oct 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 06 Oct 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico781,290 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico6,982,650
+
United States257,157 
Mexico6,725,493 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Oct 2022 00:00 195 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 03 Oct 2022 12:00 172 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 3 04 Oct 2022 00:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 04 Oct 2022 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 05 Oct 2022 00:00 276 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 05 Oct 2022 12:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 06 Oct 2022 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 06 Oct 2022 12:00 296 Few people
- - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Oct 2022 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico9,497 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Oct 2022 22:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
03 Oct 2022 21:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 17:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 17:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 17:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 15:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 15:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 15:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Novillero Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 22:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 01:45 San Blas Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 01:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 16:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 17:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.3
03 Oct 2022 15:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 14:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 00:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 00:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 06:30 La Choya Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 06:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 02:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 02:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 San Pedro United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Wilmington United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Signal Hill United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Surfside United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Seal Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Newport Beach United States  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Clifton United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Redondo Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.2
06 Oct 2022 15:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 15:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:30 Barron Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 01:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 01:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 01:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 02:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Las Flores United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Castellammare United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Pacific Palisades United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Santa Monica United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Sawtelle United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Marina del Rey United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Playa del Rey United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Alsace United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 El Segundo United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Manhattan Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 02:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 The Muirlands United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Azure Vista United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Mission Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Roseville United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Loma Portal United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 San Diego United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Coronado United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Boal United States  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:00 La Tuza Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 04:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 04:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 04:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 04:00 Oxnard United States  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:30 Copala Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 20:45 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 02:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:30 El Marques Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 10:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 17:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Nuxco Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Calvario Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 16:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:30 El Papayo Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Joluta Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 03:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 03:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Cliff Haven United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Bay Shores United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Balboa United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Corona del Mar United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Crystal Cove United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Emerald Bay United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Malibu West United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Point Dume United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Malibu Vista United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 El Nido United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Malibu Bowl United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Malibu United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Monte Nido United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Erendria Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Sycamore United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Solromar United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 15:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 15:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Two Harbors United States  0.2
03 Oct 2022 10:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 02:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 San Clemente United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Agra United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Las Flores United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Stuart United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Escondido Junction United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Oceanside United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Carlsbad United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Ponto United States  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 01:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 01:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2022 21:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Laguna Beach United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Canyon Acres United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Top of the World United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:30 South Laguna United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Avalon United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 02:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 02:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2022 02:45 La Jolla United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 02:45 Easter Cross United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 02:45 Sorrento United States  0.2
09 Oct 2022 02:45 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 01:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Leucadia United States  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Encinitas United States  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 01:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 01:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:45 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
09 Oct 2022 06:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 18:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 18:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 18:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Solana Beach United States  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Del Mar United States  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:30 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 21:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 21:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 06:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 La Mision Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 18:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 10:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 10:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 10:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 02:45 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 21:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 10:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 10:45 El Real Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 10:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 10:45 Apisa Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2022 10:45 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 01:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 19:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 18:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 18:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 01:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 10:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 21:30 Maruata Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 10:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 15:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 11:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 21:30 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 10:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 10:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 01:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 01:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 10:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 10:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 11:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 11:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 21:45 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 21:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 21:45 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 10:30 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 19:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 15:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 10:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 10:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 10:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2022 02:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 16:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1