Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Jun 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.3 m 136 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico1,531 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 20 Jun 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 20 Jun 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 21 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 21 Jun 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 21 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 21 Jun 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 22 Jun 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 22 Jun 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 22 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 22 Jun 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 23 Jun 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 23 Jun 2022 06:00 126 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmNicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama2,193,544
+
Nicaragua96,754 
Colombia76,993 
Costa Rica1,470,868 
Panama548,927 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama7,088,691
+
United States354,385 
Mexico224,659 
Guatemala628,469 
Honduras8,108 
Nicaragua331,292 
El Salvador1,974,072 
Costa Rica3,336,965 
Panama230,737 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 161 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 219 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Panama
Blue 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 96 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 12 19 Jun 2022 12:00 98 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 19 Jun 2022 18:00 98 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Panama
Blue 14 20 Jun 2022 00:00 69 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 20 Jun 2022 06:00 49 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 20 Jun 2022 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 20 Jun 2022 18:00 78 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 21 Jun 2022 00:00 171 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
Blue 19 21 Jun 2022 06:00 257 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 21 Jun 2022 12:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 21 Jun 2022 18:00 153 -
- - - - - Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 22 22 Jun 2022 00:00 156 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama
Blue 23 22 Jun 2022 06:00 191 230 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 24 22 Jun 2022 12:00 218 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 22 Jun 2022 18:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 23 Jun 2022 00:00 100 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 27 23 Jun 2022 06:00 511 2.2 million
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Cabo Tepoca, Mexico. This height is estimated for 23 Jun 2022 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Jun 2022 09:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
23 Jun 2022 09:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
23 Jun 2022 09:15 Molino Mexico  0.3
23 Jun 2022 09:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
23 Jun 2022 09:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.3
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Sabalo Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Potrero Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Potreio Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Charcos Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Quebrada Sucia Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Sierpe Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Barrigones Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Canaza Agujas Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Agujas Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Mogos Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Tigre Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Playitas Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Venecia Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Silencio Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Esquinas Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Dos Rios Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Baja Nancito Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
23 Jun 2022 09:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Rio Nuevo Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca San Martin Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Delicias Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Telma Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Bambu Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Punto Jimenez Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Catalina Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Puerto Jimenez Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Corozal Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Naranjal Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Finca Nubes Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Golfito Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 09:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
23 Jun 2022 09:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Laguna Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Bajo Chontales Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Purruia Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Sabalos Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Esperanza Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Florida Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:45 Agua Buena Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:45 El Higo Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Puerto Real Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Boquita Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Chiriqui Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Canazas Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Isla Torta Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Chorcha Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 La Pita Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Batipa Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Boca Chica Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Las Vueltas Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Madronal Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Charco Azul Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Hato Corrales Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Horconcitos Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Las Huacas Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Boca del Monte Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Canafistulo Panama  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Puerto Pilon Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Manzanillo Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Mona Costa Rica  0.2
23 Jun 2022 06:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Nicaragua Costa Rica  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Banco Costa Rica  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 La Playa Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Sumner United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Port Inglis United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Yankeetown United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 10:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 10:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 10:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Finca Bella Vista Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Cerrillos Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Pueblito de San Juan Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Santa Cruz Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 El Morro Negro Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Austwell United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Green Lake United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Boca Toro Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Quebrada Piedra Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 El Peru Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 10:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 La Albina Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 La Lajas de Tole Panama  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 08:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 10:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 07:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 09:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 11:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Ozello United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Homosassa United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Crystal River United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Paradise Point United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Cutlers United States  0.1
23 Jun 2022 06:00 Chassahowitzka United States  0.1