Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (19 Jun 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.4 m 96 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama5,198,046
+
Mexico929,201 
Belize136,934 
Guatemala1,295,569 
Honduras1,826,200 
Nicaragua388,237 
El Salvador50,400 
Costa Rica441,580 
Panama129,922 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama36,955,210
+
Mexico13,816,364 
Belize170,291 
Guatemala10,469,655 
Honduras1,636,635 
Nicaragua5,456,310 
El Salvador1,055,460 
Colombia76,993 
Costa Rica3,813,491 
Panama460,007 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jun 2022 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Jun 2022 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jun 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jun 2022 12:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Jun 2022 18:00 161 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 10 19 Jun 2022 00:00 219 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Panama
Blue 11 19 Jun 2022 06:00 306 5.2 million
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Cabo Tepoca, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.4
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2022 09:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2022 09:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Molino Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2022 11:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 11:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 11:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 07:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 07:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 07:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 07:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 11:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 11:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 11:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2022 06:30 El Roble Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:15 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:15 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:15 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:15 Condega Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:15 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:30 Huiste Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:30 Boquita Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:30 Casares Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:30 Ahuchuetes Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:30 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:30 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 El Moray Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Buena Vista Honduras  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Veracruz Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Las Salinas Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Las Delicias Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 09:45 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 09:45 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 09:45 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 09:45 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 10:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Montana Grande Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Lepanto Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Abangaritos Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Lagarto Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Cabo Blanco Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Morales Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Paquera Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Puerto Chomes Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Trenconal Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Puntarenas Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Hacienda Puerto Alto Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Pitahaya Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 10:45 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 10:45 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 10:45 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Agua El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Canoguero El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 El Cacao El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 El Real Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Apisa Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:30 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:00 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:00 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Canaza Agujas Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Agujas Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Agua Buena Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Tigre Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Playitas Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Rio Nuevo Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca San Martin Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca Delicias Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca Telma Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca Bambu Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Punto Jimenez Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca Catalina Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Puerto Jimenez Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca Corozal Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca Venecia Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca Silencio Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Esquinas Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Dos Rios Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Baja Nancito Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Naranjal Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Finca Nubes Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Golfito Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Laguna Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Bajo Chontales Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Purruia Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 El Higo Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Sabalos Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Esperanza Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Florida Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 10:45 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:30 Nicaragua Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:30 Banco Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 San Pedrillo Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Drake Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Guerra Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Camibar Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Sabalo Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Potrero Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Potreio Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:45 Charcos Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Aposentillo Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 El Fortin Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Fatima Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 El Realejo Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 09:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:30 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Potrero Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Matapalo Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Plazuela Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Coco Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Nacascolo Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Panama Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Cacao Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:00 Iguanita Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:15 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Puerto el Barquito Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Poneloya Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 07:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 11:45 Candelaria Nicaragua  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 08:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2022 06:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2022 12:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1