Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PADDY-21
Off-shore
22 Nov 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PADDY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 Nov 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.5 m 84 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 0.5 m 215 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia333,076 
50-100 mmIndonesia25,034,626 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 91 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 287 330 thousand
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Menango, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 22 Nov 2021 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Nov 2021 19:30 Menango Indonesia  0.5
22 Nov 2021 19:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.5
22 Nov 2021 19:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.5
22 Nov 2021 19:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.5
22 Nov 2021 19:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.4
22 Nov 2021 19:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Soega Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Gresik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Baliga Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Laboean Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Kajuwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:15 Sidaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Djomblang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Semarang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Karangroto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Taju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Prancak Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Negara Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:15 Songai Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Sampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Galis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Prenduan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Djate Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Bluto Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 23:30 Guring Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 23:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Bayeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Saroka Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Sumenep Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Bundan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Gedugan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Boengkoelan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Kubutambahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:45 Indramaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:15 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Losan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Gending Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Aermata Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Klampis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Sapulu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Grajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Puteran Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Karagajar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:15 Kesambirampak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Bandjargondol Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Pandji Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Singaradja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Gajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Katupat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Djoengkat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Brakas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Soekasade Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Buleleng Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Gretek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Goa-daja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Djoelah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Tejakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Sonok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Banraas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Sumberwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Badjulmati Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Situbondo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Besuki Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Sunberanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:15 Mandingan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Lombang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Tianjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Wangsaredja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Tenganan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Amlapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Tjulik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Karangasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:15 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Kubu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:15 Gerokgak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Kelapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Sokabana Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Tegallengah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Bubunan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Banjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Temoekoes Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Kalianda Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Podang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Brondong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:30 Lasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:45 Tuban Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:45 Semanding Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Karangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Remen Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Plosokere Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Djenu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:00 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:30 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:30 Belukares Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Patrol Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Lungkung Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Lembongan Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Tanglad Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Jepara Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Tambak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 21:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.3
22 Nov 2021 21:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 21:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 09:30 Cardabia Australia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 21:00 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 21:00 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Seseh Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Kuta Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Boealoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Benua Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Denpasar Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Labih Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:45 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:45 Sumur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Onslow Australia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 21:15 Glenroy Australia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 05:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 05:30 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:15 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 09:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Petjatu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:45 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:45 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:45 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:45 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:45 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 05:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:15 Putih Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Domas Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:15 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:15 Karangberak Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 02:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 02:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Walur Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Krui Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:15 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:15 Belowa Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:15 Taoabi Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:15 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:00 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 18:00 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
22 Nov 2021 23:15 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 23:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Merak Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 18:15 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 18:15 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 22:45 Tjampang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 04:45 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:45 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 22:30 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 22:30 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 22:30 Kalak Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 22:15 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 22:15 Chikalong Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Exmouth Australia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Panggul Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 18:00 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.1
22 Nov 2021 18:00 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Guying Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Galur Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.1