Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PADDY-21
Off-shore
24 Nov 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PADDY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (24 Nov 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 197 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 0.5 m 215 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Nov 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Nov 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Nov 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Nov 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Nov 2021 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia2,472 
50-100 mmIndonesia3,879,819 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 91 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Nov 2021 06:00 136 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 23 Nov 2021 12:00 71 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 7 23 Nov 2021 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Nov 2021 00:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Nov 2021 06:00 197 2 thousand
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Nov 2021 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Nov 2021 23:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 23:45 Kekatang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 23:45 Menango Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 00:00 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 00:00 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 00:00 Tarahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Gresik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Baliga Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Laboean Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Soega Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Sidaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Kajuwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Remen Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Plosokere Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Djenu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Tuban Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Semanding Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Podang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Brondong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Sapulu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Aermata Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Klampis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Kelapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Songai Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Sokabana Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Sampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:30 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Galis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Prenduan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Djate Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Bluto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Saroka Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Sumenep Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Bundan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Gedugan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Taju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Karangroto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:00 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:00 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Puteran Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Lombang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Banraas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Bayeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Belukares Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:00 Gending Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:00 Karagajar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:00 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:00 Goa-daja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Besuki Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Jepara Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:30 Katupat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:30 Djoengkat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:30 Brakas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Grajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Gajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Sonok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Kesambirampak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Mandingan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Boengkoelan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Kubutambahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:30 Situbondo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Sumberwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Badjulmati Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Gretek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Sunberanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Bandjargondol Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Gerokgak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:15 Wangsaredja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Tianjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Tejakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Tjulik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:00 Karangasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Pandji Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Singaradja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Soekasade Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Buleleng Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Tenganan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Amlapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Tambak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Djoelah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Lasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Kendal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Kubu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Tegallengah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Bubunan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Banjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Temoekoes Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:30 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Karangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Losan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Klampok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
26 Nov 2021 23:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:00 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:00 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 21:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:45 Onslow Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:45 Glenroy Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 21:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 21:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 21:45 Prancak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 21:45 Negara Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 23:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:15 Learmonth Australia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 07:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 07:00 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 07:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Petjatu Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Seseh Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Kuta Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Boealoe Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Benua Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Denpasar Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Popoh Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:00 Labih Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:00 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:15 Domas Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Cardabia Australia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 17:00 Guring Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 17:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Merak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Guying Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 16:45 Karbang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 16:45 Walur Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 16:45 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 16:45 Wainapal Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 16:45 Krui Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 16:45 Kerbang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 16:45 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 16:45 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
27 Nov 2021 06:00 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
27 Nov 2021 06:00 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 18:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:15 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 11:30 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Kabue Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:15 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:15 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Galur Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:00 Tambaksari Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Plotot Indonesia  0.1