Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PADDY-21
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PADDY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Nov 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 279 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.5 m 662 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Nov 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Nov 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Nov 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia515,337 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Cocos Islands10,166,049
+
Indonesia10,165,431 
Cocos Islands618 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Nov 2021 12:00 526 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2021 00:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Nov 2021 12:00 330 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 319 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 5 23 Nov 2021 12:00 158 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 24 Nov 2021 00:00 279 520 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Cocos Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 25 Nov 2021 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Nov 2021 01:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 01:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 01:15 Menango Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 01:15 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 01:15 Tarahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Soega Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.3
26 Nov 2021 23:45 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Gresik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Losan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Bayeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:00 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Baliga Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:30 Laboean Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:15 Kajuwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.3
25 Nov 2021 00:30 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Taju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Sapulu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Muntjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Podang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Brondong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Sidja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Sampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Gending Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Karagajar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Remen Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Plosokere Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Djenu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Tuban Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Semanding Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Kendal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Djomblang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Sidaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Sigedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Galis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Karangroto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Prenduan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Karangsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Aermata Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Klampis Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Wedung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Belukares Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Sumenep Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Besuki Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Djate Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bluto Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Saroka Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bundan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Gedugan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Jepara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Mandingan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Sokabana Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Lombang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Banraas Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Puteran Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Lasem Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Kelapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Songai Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Situbondo Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:00 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Kesambirampak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Tambak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Sumberwaru Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Sonok Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Grajam Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Gajam Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Katupat Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Djoengkat Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Prancak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Negara Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 11:15 Onslow Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Brakas Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Sunberanjar Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 00:15 Kalianda Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Bandjargondol Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Gerokgak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Pandji Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Singaradja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Soekasade Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Buleleng Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Tegallengah Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Bubunan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Banjar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Temoekoes Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Goa-daja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Badjulmati Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Boengkoelan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Kubutambahan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 01:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Djoelah Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Tianjar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Wangsaredja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Gretek Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Tejakula Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Kubu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Tjulik Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Karangasem Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Tenganan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Amlapura Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Glenroy Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:00 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:00 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 09:00 Learmonth Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 23:15 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 23:15 Walur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 23:15 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 23:15 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 23:15 Krui Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 23:15 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 23:15 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 23:15 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Labih Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:00 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Belowa Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Taoabi Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:15 Seseh Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:15 Kuta Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:15 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:15 Boealoe Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:15 Benua Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:15 Denpasar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 22:15 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 18:30 Guring Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 18:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Sumur Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 01:15 Domas Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 00:15 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 00:00 Merak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 15:45 Cardabia Australia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Condro Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:30 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:30 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Putih Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 08:00 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 03:00 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 03:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Guying Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 07:45 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:45 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:15 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 23:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1