Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TERRY-21
Off-shore
04 Nov 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TERRY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (04 Nov 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.0 m 55 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 79 km/h 0.0 m 670 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Nov 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Nov 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
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Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Nov 2021 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 04 Nov 2021 18:00 538 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in El Ajustillo, Honduras. This height is estimated for 04 Nov 2021 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Nov 2021 22:00 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 El Moray Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Condega Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Buena Vista Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Albania Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 El Tambor Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Campeche Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 21:45 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:45 San Diego El Salvador  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:45 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:45 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
04 Nov 2021 21:00 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 21:00 El Puente Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1