Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 173 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (26 Oct 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 162 km/h 0.4 m 469 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 173 km/h 0.4 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico118,790 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

857 mm

Up to 890 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico3,957 
100-250 mmMexico883,126 
50-100 mmMexico629,082 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 470 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 254 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 260 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 566 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 469 590 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Penasco, Mexico. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico, United States5,829
+
Mexico3,355 
United States2,473 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
25 Oct 2021 07:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Carancahua United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 04:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Palacios United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Collegeport United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Simpsonville United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Sixmile United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Olivia United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.3
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.3
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 09:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Anahuac United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Sabine United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Cameron United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Flake United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Patton United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Caplen United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Todville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 San Leon United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 High Island United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:30 Indianola United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Texas City United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Galveston United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Estes United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Rockport United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Copano Village United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Lamar United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Austwell United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 06:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Hoskins United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Port Morris United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Sea Isle United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Hitchcock United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 21:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 09:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 01:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 01:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 02:30 Calvario Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 17:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 01:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 18:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 02:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 00:45 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 00:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 00:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 07:15 Joluta Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 16:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 22:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 14:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 00:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 20:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 20:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 04:15 Matagorda United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 04:15 Chinquapin United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 01:45 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:30 Quintana United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:30 Surfside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:30 Mims United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 04:45 Port Aransas United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 North Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Doyle United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Portland United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Gregory United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 00:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 00:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 02:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 06:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 03:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
27 Oct 2021 05:45 Freeport United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
27 Oct 2021 04:15 Gulf Park United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 02:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 22:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 02:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 02:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 17:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 17:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 19:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 06:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:00 Chola Mexico  0.1