Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
22 Oct 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (24 Oct 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 266 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 61 km/h 0.5 m 435 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

61 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico248,589 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 00:00 194 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 12:00 386 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 24 Oct 2021 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Oct 2021 20:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2021 20:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2021 20:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Constance Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Holly Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 14:15 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 14:15 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 14:15 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 14:15 Anahuac United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Cameron United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Sabine United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Todville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 San Leon United States  0.2
23 Oct 2021 08:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 08:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Galveston United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
23 Oct 2021 08:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Carancahua United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Palacios United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Collegeport United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Simpsonville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 07:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 High Island United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Sixmile United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Point Comfort United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Olivia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Weedhaven United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Port Alto United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 07:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 21:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 07:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:30 El Roble Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Estes United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Rockport United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Fulton United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Lamar United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Austwell United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 North Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Doyle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Portland United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Gregory United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 07:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 07:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Indianola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1