Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore
02 Aug 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (03 Aug 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 108 km/h 0.4 m 344 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 588 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Aug 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico177 
50-100 mmMexico1,946,934 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 433 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 224 90 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 265 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Aug 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Aug 2021 00:00 280 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 02 Aug 2021 12:00 432 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 10:00 San Jose Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 10:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Mulege Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Ligui Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Tripui Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Loreto Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Datilito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 La Paz Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Rosario Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 02:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 21:45 Novillero Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 18:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 14:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 02:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 23:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 Chamela Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Chola Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 07:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 08:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 08:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 08:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 17:00 Pizota Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 08:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 07:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1