Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (03 Aug 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 0.3 m 203 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.4 m 656 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Jul 2021 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Aug 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Aug 2021 06:00 140 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:

Rainfall

656 mm

Up to 9 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico9,100 
50-100 mmMexico240,076 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Jul 2021 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Aug 2021 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 01 Aug 2021 06:00 541 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Santa Rosalia, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 00:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 01:30 San Jose Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 01:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 01:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 02:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 02:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 19:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 02:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 02:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 19:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 02:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 09:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 09:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 07:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 07:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 02:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Chola Mexico  0.1