Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Aug 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 104 km/h 0.3 m 280 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 588 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico47,035 
50-100 mmMexico1,810,621 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 433 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 224 90 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 265 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Aug 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Aug 2021 00:00 328 50 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Santa Rosalia, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Aug 2021 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Aug 2021 06:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 06:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 07:00 San Jose Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 07:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 06:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 09:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 09:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 10:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 07:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 07:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 05:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 07:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 07:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 07:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 05:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 07:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1