Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (31 Jul 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 0.3 m 185 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.4 m 656 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico5,750 
50-100 mmMexico158,254 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 334 6 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 Jul 2021 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Jul 2021 09:45 San Jose Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 23:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 23:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 12:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 12:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 08:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 12:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 07:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 07:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 10:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 11:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 18:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 09:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 11:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 09:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 09:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1