Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FARAJI-21
Off-shore
14 Feb 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FARAJI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 Feb 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 19 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 263 km/h 0.4 m 1208 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

263 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Feb 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Feb 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Feb 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Feb 2021 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2021 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Feb 2021 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 06 Feb 2021 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 06 Feb 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Feb 2021 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 07 Feb 2021 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 07 Feb 2021 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 07 Feb 2021 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 08 Feb 2021 00:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 08 Feb 2021 06:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 08 Feb 2021 12:00 241 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 08 Feb 2021 18:00 263 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Feb 2021 00:00 245 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 09 Feb 2021 06:00 245 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 09 Feb 2021 12:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 09 Feb 2021 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 10 Feb 2021 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 10 Feb 2021 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 10 Feb 2021 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 10 Feb 2021 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 11 Feb 2021 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 11 Feb 2021 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 11 Feb 2021 12:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 11 Feb 2021 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 12 Feb 2021 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 12 Feb 2021 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 12 Feb 2021 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 12 Feb 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 13 Feb 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 13 Feb 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 13 Feb 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 13 Feb 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 14 Feb 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 14 Feb 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 14 Feb 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Feb 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMauritius9,348 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Feb 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Feb 2021 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Feb 2021 18:00 309 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2021 00:00 255 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Feb 2021 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 06 Feb 2021 12:00 234 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 06 Feb 2021 18:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 07 Feb 2021 00:00 342 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 07 Feb 2021 06:00 294 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 07 Feb 2021 12:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 07 Feb 2021 18:00 343 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 08 Feb 2021 00:00 399 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 08 Feb 2021 06:00 578 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 08 Feb 2021 12:00 515 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 08 Feb 2021 18:00 654 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 09 Feb 2021 00:00 552 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 09 Feb 2021 06:00 465 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 09 Feb 2021 12:00 491 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 09 Feb 2021 18:00 441 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 10 Feb 2021 00:00 505 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 10 Feb 2021 06:00 437 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 10 Feb 2021 12:00 571 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 10 Feb 2021 18:00 432 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 11 Feb 2021 00:00 395 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 11 Feb 2021 06:00 382 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 11 Feb 2021 12:00 512 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 11 Feb 2021 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 12 Feb 2021 00:00 311 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 12 Feb 2021 06:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 12 Feb 2021 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 12 Feb 2021 18:00 290 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 13 Feb 2021 00:00 55 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 13 Feb 2021 06:00 31 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 13 Feb 2021 12:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 13 Feb 2021 18:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 14 Feb 2021 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 14 Feb 2021 06:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 14 Feb 2021 12:00 217 -
- - - - - Mauritius




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Ferme, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2021 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Feb 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Feb 2021 15:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.3
16 Feb 2021 15:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.3
14 Feb 2021 13:30 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
14 Feb 2021 13:30 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2