Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FARAJI-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FARAJI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (16 Feb 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 0.0 m 475 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 0.1 m 753 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

166 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Feb 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Feb 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Feb 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Feb 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Feb 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Feb 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Feb 2021 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Feb 2021 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Feb 2021 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Feb 2021 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Feb 2021 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Feb 2021 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 10 Feb 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Feb 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Feb 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Feb 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Feb 2021 12:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Feb 2021 00:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Feb 2021 12:00 226 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2021 00:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Feb 2021 12:00 321 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Feb 2021 00:00 246 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Feb 2021 12:00 407 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Feb 2021 00:00 450 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Feb 2021 12:00 454 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Feb 2021 00:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Feb 2021 12:00 352 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Feb 2021 00:00 310 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 10 Feb 2021 12:00 348 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Feb 2021 00:00 399 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Feb 2021 12:00 778 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Point Marianne, British Indian Ocean Territory. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2021 11:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Feb 2021 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Feb 2021 11:45 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
16 Feb 2021 11:45 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
16 Feb 2021 16:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
16 Feb 2021 16:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1