Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EIGHTEEN-21
in Australia
05 Feb 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EIGHTEEN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (06 Feb 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.9 m 20 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 94 km/h 1.0 m 466 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 100 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia99,281 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Jan 2021 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 2 31 Jan 2021 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 01 Feb 2021 00:00 65 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 4 01 Feb 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Feb 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Feb 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Feb 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Feb 2021 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Feb 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Feb 2021 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 03 Feb 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 03 Feb 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Feb 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Feb 2021 18:00 61 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 15 04 Feb 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 04 Feb 2021 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 17 04 Feb 2021 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 18 04 Feb 2021 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 19 05 Feb 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 05 Feb 2021 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmAustralia53 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Jan 2021 12:00 19 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 2 31 Jan 2021 18:00 20 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 3 01 Feb 2021 00:00 18 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 4 01 Feb 2021 06:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Feb 2021 12:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Feb 2021 18:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Feb 2021 00:00 14 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Feb 2021 06:00 15 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Feb 2021 12:00 15 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Feb 2021 18:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 03 Feb 2021 00:00 17 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 03 Feb 2021 06:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 03 Feb 2021 12:00 17 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Feb 2021 18:00 17 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 15 04 Feb 2021 00:00 17 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 04 Feb 2021 06:00 22 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 17 04 Feb 2021 12:00 21 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 18 04 Feb 2021 18:00 19 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 19 05 Feb 2021 00:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 05 Feb 2021 06:00 223 -
- - - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Hamelin Pool, Australia. This height is estimated for 06 Feb 2021 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Feb 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Feb 2021 05:30 Hamelin Pool Australia  0.9
06 Feb 2021 05:30 Hamelin Australia  0.9
06 Feb 2021 05:15 Carrarang Australia  0.8
06 Feb 2021 05:15 Tamala Australia  0.8
06 Feb 2021 04:30 Nanga Australia  0.7
06 Feb 2021 05:00 Gladstone Australia  0.7
06 Feb 2021 04:45 Shark Bay Australia  0.6
06 Feb 2021 04:45 Monkey Mia Australia  0.6
06 Feb 2021 04:00 Useless Loop Australia  0.6
05 Feb 2021 22:45 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.6
06 Feb 2021 06:15 Denham Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2021 21:00 Vasse Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2021 21:00 Broadwater Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2021 21:00 Busselton Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2021 21:00 Wonnerup Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2021 21:00 Ludlow Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2021 21:15 Dunsborough Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2021 21:15 Quindalup Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2021 21:15 Gunyulgup Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2021 21:15 Yallingup Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 04:30 Milyeannup Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 01:30 Dalyellup Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 01:30 Bunbury Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 01:45 Picton Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 01:45 Eaton Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 01:45 Australind Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 01:30 Binningup Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 01:30 Burragenup Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 04:30 Augusta Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2021 16:00 Kalbarri Australia  0.4
08 Feb 2021 05:00 Myalup Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2021 01:15 Geraldton Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2021 01:15 Drummond Cove Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2021 01:15 Popes Landing Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2021 01:15 Waggrakine Australia  0.4
06 Feb 2021 16:00 Gregory Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2021 01:30 Horrocks Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2021 01:30 Lynton Australia  0.3
08 Feb 2021 04:45 Hamelin Bay Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 01:30 Denison Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 01:30 Port Denison Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 01:30 Dongara Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 01:45 Greenough Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 09:15 Illawong Australia  0.3
08 Feb 2021 03:30 Gracetown Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 09:15 Coolimba Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 20:15 Falcon Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 20:15 Mandurah Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 20:15 Warnbro Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 20:15 Peelhurst Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 20:15 Singleton Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 20:15 Karnup Australia  0.3
05 Feb 2021 07:45 Point Samson Australia  0.3
05 Feb 2021 07:45 Cossack Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2021 10:15 Leeman Australia  0.3
05 Feb 2021 12:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2021 09:30 Green Head Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2021 20:00 Safety Bay Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2021 20:00 Rockingham Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2021 10:00 Jurien Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:15 Wickham Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Fremantle Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 North Beach Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 North Fremantle Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Scarborough Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Mosman Park Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Cottesloe Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 East Fremantle Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Coogee Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Swanbourne Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Claremont Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Spearwood Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:00 Bicton Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:45 Quobba Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 03:45 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:45 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:30 Dampier Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:30 Karratha Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:30 Wattleup Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 03:45 Quinns Rock Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2021 19:00 Cervantes Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:45 Mardie Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:30 Warroora Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:30 Two Rocks Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2021 04:30 Yanchep Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2021 18:45 Lancelin Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 10:00 Gnaraloo Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 20:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2021 19:15 Seabird Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2021 19:45 Guilderton Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:15 Cardabia Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 09:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
05 Feb 2021 07:15 Onslow Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2021 07:00 Glenroy Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2021 09:45 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2021 06:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
05 Feb 2021 06:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2021 06:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
05 Feb 2021 10:45 Exmouth Australia  0.1