Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DANILO-21
in , Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
06 Jan 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DANILO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Jan 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 17 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 137 km/h 0.4 m 628 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Jan 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jan 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Jan 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Jan 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Jan 2021 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Jan 2021 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Jan 2021 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Jan 2021 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Jan 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Jan 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 04 Jan 2021 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 04 Jan 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 04 Jan 2021 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 05 Jan 2021 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 05 Jan 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 05 Jan 2021 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 05 Jan 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 06 Jan 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 06 Jan 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 06 Jan 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Jan 2021 18:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Jan 2021 00:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Jan 2021 06:00 38 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Jan 2021 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Jan 2021 18:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Jan 2021 00:00 31 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 03 Jan 2021 06:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 03 Jan 2021 12:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Jan 2021 18:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Jan 2021 00:00 25 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 04 Jan 2021 06:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 04 Jan 2021 12:00 32 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 04 Jan 2021 18:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 05 Jan 2021 00:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 05 Jan 2021 06:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 05 Jan 2021 12:00 33 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 05 Jan 2021 18:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 06 Jan 2021 00:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 06 Jan 2021 06:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 06 Jan 2021 12:00 277 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Antalavia, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 09 Jan 2021 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Antalavia Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 17:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 17:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 17:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 17:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:30 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:30 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 03:30 Maniroka Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 03:30 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 03:30 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 03:30 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:00 Le Port Reunion  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:00 La Possession Reunion  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:00 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:00 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:00 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
07 Jan 2021 16:00 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
07 Jan 2021 16:00 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
07 Jan 2021 16:00 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.2
07 Jan 2021 16:00 Ambinany Madagascar  0.2
07 Jan 2021 16:00 Antalaha Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 16:00 Farahalana Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 16:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 16:00 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Sambava Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 15:15 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 15:15 Amboanio Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 15:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 15:30 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 15:30 Masondrono Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 15:30 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 16:30 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 04:30 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 04:30 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.2
06 Jan 2021 17:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
06 Jan 2021 17:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:15 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
07 Jan 2021 10:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
07 Jan 2021 10:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
08 Jan 2021 17:15 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:15 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:15 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
07 Jan 2021 14:45 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.2
07 Jan 2021 14:45 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
07 Jan 2021 14:45 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 18:00 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 18:00 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:45 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:45 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
06 Jan 2021 16:45 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Les Avirons Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Etang Sale Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1
08 Jan 2021 04:30 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1
08 Jan 2021 04:30 Cascades Reunion  0.1
08 Jan 2021 04:15 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Black River Mauritius  0.1
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
08 Jan 2021 04:15 Souillac Mauritius  0.1