Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DANILO-21
in , Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
06 Jan 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DANILO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Jan 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.3 m 21 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 144 km/h 0.3 m 599 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

144 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Jan 2021 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jan 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Jan 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Jan 2021 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Jan 2021 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Jan 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Jan 2021 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Jan 2021 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Jan 2021 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Jan 2021 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 04 Jan 2021 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 04 Jan 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 04 Jan 2021 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 05 Jan 2021 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 05 Jan 2021 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 05 Jan 2021 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 05 Jan 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 06 Jan 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 06 Jan 2021 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 06 Jan 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Jan 2021 18:00 21 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Jan 2021 00:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Jan 2021 06:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Jan 2021 12:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Jan 2021 18:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Jan 2021 00:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 03 Jan 2021 06:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 03 Jan 2021 12:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Jan 2021 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Jan 2021 00:00 31 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 04 Jan 2021 06:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 04 Jan 2021 12:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 04 Jan 2021 18:00 35 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 05 Jan 2021 00:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 05 Jan 2021 06:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 05 Jan 2021 12:00 33 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 05 Jan 2021 18:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 06 Jan 2021 00:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 06 Jan 2021 06:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 06 Jan 2021 12:00 287 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Antalavia, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 09 Jan 2021 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Antalavia Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
08 Jan 2021 03:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
08 Jan 2021 03:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Ampaha Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 15:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:00 Le Port Reunion  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:00 La Possession Reunion  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:00 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:00 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.3
06 Jan 2021 16:00 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.3
09 Jan 2021 04:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.3
07 Jan 2021 16:00 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 03:45 Amboanio Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 03:45 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 04:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 03:45 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 03:45 Masondrono Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 03:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 03:45 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 03:45 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 03:45 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Sambava Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Farahalana Madagascar  0.2
09 Jan 2021 04:15 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Les Avirons Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Etang Sale Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Petite Ile Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.2
07 Jan 2021 10:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
08 Jan 2021 04:00 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.2
07 Jan 2021 10:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Cascades Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Port Louis Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Black River Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Choisy Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.2
09 Jan 2021 01:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
09 Jan 2021 01:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Souillac Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
08 Jan 2021 03:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2