Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GATI-20
in Somalia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GATI-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Somalia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (22 Nov 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Somalia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.4 m 249 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 83 km/h 0.4 m 249 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSomalia3,426 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Nov 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2020 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Somalia
GREEN 4 22 Nov 2020 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Somalia
GREEN 5 22 Nov 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Nov 2020 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Nov 2020 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 23 Nov 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 23 Nov 2020 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 24 Nov 2020 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 24 Nov 2020 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSomalia99,520 
50-100 mmSomalia, Ethiopia554,933
+
Somalia391,812 
Ethiopia163,121 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Nov 2020 18:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2020 00:00 136 -
- - - - - Somalia
Blue 3 22 Nov 2020 06:00 163 20 thousand
- - - - Somalia
Blue 4 22 Nov 2020 12:00 64 -
- - - - - Somalia
Blue 5 22 Nov 2020 18:00 60 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Nov 2020 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Nov 2020 06:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Nov 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 23 Nov 2020 18:00 24 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Nov 2020 00:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Nov 2020 06:00 78 -
- - - - - Somalia, Ethiopia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Xaafuun, Somalia. This height is estimated for 22 Nov 2020 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Nov 2020 07:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.4
22 Nov 2020 11:15 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.3
22 Nov 2020 07:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:15 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:30 Midi Yemen  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:45 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:30 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:45 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:15 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:15 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.3
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Qurayyah Yemen  0.3
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.3
22 Nov 2020 07:00 Cadayo Somalia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:15 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:00 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 00:00 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.3
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Al Hudaydah Yemen  0.2
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Jabanah Yemen  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:30 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.2
22 Nov 2020 13:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
27 Nov 2020 00:00 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
22 Nov 2020 02:45 Sala Gon Somalia  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:45 Al Luyhayyah Yemen  0.2
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Kamaran Yemen  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Diwalu Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Mora Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Horena Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Miida Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Sahli Eritrea  0.2
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Sayfaf Yemen  0.2
22 Nov 2020 11:15 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
22 Nov 2020 11:15 Mach Somalia  0.2
27 Nov 2020 02:45 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Rasa Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Badeda Eritrea  0.2
27 Nov 2020 06:00 Al Ghulayfiqah Yemen  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:45 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.2
22 Nov 2020 03:45 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
22 Nov 2020 03:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
22 Nov 2020 03:45 Saylac Somalia  0.2
22 Nov 2020 14:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.2
27 Nov 2020 05:00 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.2
21 Nov 2020 22:30 Hen Daier Somalia  0.2
27 Nov 2020 04:45 Al Fazah Yemen  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:15 Tio Eritrea  0.2
23 Nov 2020 12:00 Ascira Somalia  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Al Butays Yemen  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.2
27 Nov 2020 05:30 Babaiu Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 11:45 Maushij Yemen  0.2
26 Nov 2020 11:45 Jirdan Yemen  0.2
22 Nov 2020 23:45 Alela Eritrea  0.2
22 Nov 2020 23:45 Aseb Eritrea  0.2
22 Nov 2020 23:45 Aylu Eritrea  0.2
22 Nov 2020 01:30 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.2
22 Nov 2020 01:30 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.2
27 Nov 2020 05:45 Hawra Eritrea  0.2
22 Nov 2020 06:00 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.2
22 Nov 2020 06:00 Eyl Somalia  0.2
22 Nov 2020 06:00 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Abacheri Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Karmu Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Idi Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Debba Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:30 Sheburur Eritrea  0.2
26 Nov 2020 11:45 Yakhtul Yemen  0.2
22 Nov 2020 13:30 Beraisole Eritrea  0.2
25 Nov 2020 17:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
22 Nov 2020 13:30 Behld Eritrea  0.2
23 Nov 2020 12:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:30 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
22 Nov 2020 14:15 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
22 Nov 2020 12:30 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
22 Nov 2020 11:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
22 Nov 2020 14:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
22 Nov 2020 11:15 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
25 Nov 2020 17:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
22 Nov 2020 14:15 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:00 'Imran Yemen  0.1
22 Nov 2020 05:45 'Ag Somalia  0.1
22 Nov 2020 12:45 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
22 Nov 2020 12:45 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
23 Nov 2020 07:15 Marero Somalia  0.1
23 Nov 2020 07:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
23 Nov 2020 07:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:30 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:15 Berbera Somalia  0.1
21 Nov 2020 20:45 Hobyo Somalia  0.1
23 Nov 2020 12:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
22 Nov 2020 22:00 Garahadde Somalia  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 15:30 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
25 Nov 2020 15:30 Maallah Yemen  0.1
22 Nov 2020 01:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
22 Nov 2020 01:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
22 Nov 2020 01:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:15 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
23 Nov 2020 12:30 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:45 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Anteral Somalia  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:45 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:45 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Geeri Somalia  0.1