Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Honduras, Nicaragua
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Nov 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.3 m 654 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 274 km/h 2.6 m 1066 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

274 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras, Nicaragua31,148
+
Honduras31,076 
Nicaragua72 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 205 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmHonduras, Colombia15,717
+
Honduras10,405 
Colombia5,312 
50-100 mmHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia37,356
+
Honduras29,951 
Nicaragua2,077 
Colombia5,328 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 418 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 410 3 thousand
- - - - Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 466 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 709 20 thousand
- - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2020 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.3
14 Nov 2020 08:00 Victoria Mexico  0.2
14 Nov 2020 08:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Chirimena Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Chipumena Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Guaical Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Flores Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 El Aguasal Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Carenero Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Higuerote Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Buche Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Sotillo Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Boca Vieja Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Pueblo Nuevo Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Paparo Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Raya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Clubki Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Graytown Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Zalazar Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 06:30 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Kaski Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Dapat Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Las Cruces Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Arenas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Mulatos Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Zepata Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Damaquiel Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 San Juan Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 San Juan de Uraba Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Puerto Chimare Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Puerto Estrella Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Chichibacoa Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Cujizal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Palencia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Jagueicito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 La Vela de Coro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Playa Negra Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 El Carrizal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Muaco Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Mataruca Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Taimetaima Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Cuji Leon Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Taratara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 La Aguada Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Puente de Piedra Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 El Cerro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 San Juan Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:45 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:45 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:45 El Toas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:45 San Carlos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Caserio Taroa Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Maasichi Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Guasapatu Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Palachuou Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Potchoure Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Zarrupiai Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Cuzi Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Morchipa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Parsua Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Boca del Yaracuy Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Boca de Yaracuy Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Moron Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Taborda Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 El Palito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Goaigoaza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Sta. Rosa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Puerto Cabello Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Sta. Lucia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Pto Borburata Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Quizandal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Ganango Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Jumop Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Calinatay Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Molomana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Sichipes Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Pararu Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Guayamulisira Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Neima Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Cojua Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Guarurtain Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Jautaipanou Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Jasav Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Uluimana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Jurulapa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Gualipana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Cojoro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:30 Guincua Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:30 Tapuli Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:30 Makaraipaho Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:30 Castilletes Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:00 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:00 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:00 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:00 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:00 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:00 Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Los Filudos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 La Gloria Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Campamento Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 La Punta Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Paraguaipoa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Guichep Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Juruba Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:15 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:15 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:15 Caraipia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:15 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:15 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:15 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Don Diego Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Calabolo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Nevamar Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Canco Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Kanko Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Diego Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Miguel de la Borda Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Vista Hermosa Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 El Salto Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 La Vigia Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Chilar Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 El Charcon Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Terminal del Plan Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 La Ensenada Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:30 Guaguri Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:30 Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 El Coquito Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 La Esmeralda Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Canaveral Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Los Naranjos Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Mata de Platano Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 La Poza Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Hacienda la Beatriz Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Guschaca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:15 Buritaca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Karasua Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 La Soledad Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 Quebrada de Huto Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 La Cienega Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 Puerto Cumarebo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 Tucupido Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 Santa Rosa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 San Antonio Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 Cienega Lejos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:45 Flamenco Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:45 Las Caneyes Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:45 Patanemo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:45 Palermo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:45 Turiamo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:45 San Nicolas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:15 Columbia Cuba  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Todasana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Urama Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 La Virginia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Caruao Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Chuspa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Uhi Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1