Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THETA-20
in , Portugal

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THETA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (16 Nov 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.4 m 19 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 133 km/h 0.7 m 234 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Nov 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Nov 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Nov 2020 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Portugal
GREEN 4 10 Nov 2020 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 11 Nov 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 11 Nov 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 11 Nov 2020 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 Nov 2020 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Nov 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Nov 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 12 Nov 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 12 Nov 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 13 Nov 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 13 Nov 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 13 Nov 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 13 Nov 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 14 Nov 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 14 Nov 2020 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 14 Nov 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 14 Nov 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 15 Nov 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 15 Nov 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 15 Nov 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Nov 2020 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Nov 2020 06:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Nov 2020 12:00 53 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Nov 2020 18:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Nov 2020 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Nov 2020 06:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 11 Nov 2020 12:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Nov 2020 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 12 Nov 2020 00:00 53 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 12 Nov 2020 06:00 62 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 12 Nov 2020 12:00 49 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 12 Nov 2020 18:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 13 Nov 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 13 Nov 2020 06:00 56 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 13 Nov 2020 12:00 39 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 13 Nov 2020 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 14 Nov 2020 00:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 14 Nov 2020 06:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 14 Nov 2020 12:00 59 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 14 Nov 2020 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 15 Nov 2020 00:00 14 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 15 Nov 2020 06:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 15 Nov 2020 12:00 31 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Khabta, Morocco. This height is estimated for 16 Nov 2020 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Nov 2020 21:00 El Khabta Morocco  0.4
18 Nov 2020 01:00 Villa Cisneros Western Sahara  0.3
18 Nov 2020 01:00 Aargub Western Sahara  0.3
16 Nov 2020 21:00 Tarfaya Morocco  0.2
17 Nov 2020 18:45 Cansado Mauritania  0.2
17 Nov 2020 18:30 La Aguera Western Sahara  0.2
15 Nov 2020 17:45 Port-Etienne Mauritania  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 El Sauzal Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Agua-Garcia Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Tacoronte Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Tejina Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Bajamar Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Tegueste Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Sta.Cruz de Tenerife Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Santa Cruz de Tenerife Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Taborno Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 San Andres Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Lomo Bermejo Spain  0.2
15 Nov 2020 15:15 Lemsid Western Sahara  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Corralejo Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Playa Blanca Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:45 Tias Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Arucas Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Isleta Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Telde Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Melenara Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Jardim do Mar Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Ponta do Sol Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Ponta do Pargo Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Camara de Lobos Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Funchal Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 15:30 Cofete Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 15:30 Morro Jable Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 15:30 Morro del Jable Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 15:30 Aldea de Chilegua Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 15:30 Tarajalejo Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Seixal Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Sao Vicente Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Achadas da Cruz Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Canico Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Porto Moniz Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:30 Arco de S. Jorge Portugal  0.1
18 Nov 2020 01:45 Buenavista del Norte Spain  0.1
18 Nov 2020 01:45 Buenavista Spain  0.1
18 Nov 2020 01:45 Los Silos Spain  0.1
18 Nov 2020 01:45 Garachico Spain  0.1
18 Nov 2020 01:45 Icod de Los Vinos Spain  0.1
18 Nov 2020 01:45 La Guancha Spain  0.1
18 Nov 2020 01:45 San Juan de la Rambla Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:15 Machico Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:15 Canical Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:15 Porto da Cruz Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:15 Pedras Pretas Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:15 Porto Santo Portugal  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Soo Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 La Caleta Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Caleta de Sebo Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Haria Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Maguez Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Isla de Alegranza Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Guinate Spain  0.1
16 Nov 2020 00:45 Orzola Spain  0.1
15 Nov 2020 14:15 Serra de Fora Portugal  0.1
15 Nov 2020 15:15 Laayoune Plage Western Sahara  0.1

Calculation folder at this link