Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GAMMA-20
in Mexico, Cuba
02 Oct 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GAMMA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Oct 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 263 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 155 km/h 0.8 m 602 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

155 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Oct 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico, Nicaragua243,265
+
Mexico243,007 
Nicaragua258 
100-250 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua7,626,451
+
United States82,946 
Cuba15,723 
Mexico3,968,489 
Guatemala774,077 
Honduras1,647,149 
El Salvador6,651 
Nicaragua1,131,416 
50-100 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua21,257,577
+
United States6,560,766 
Cuba459,701 
Mexico4,453,542 
Guatemala4,603,205 
Belize04 
Honduras2,103,359 
El Salvador990,458 
Nicaragua2,086,542 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Oct 2020 00:00 482 7.9 million
- - - United States, Cuba, Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Oct 2020 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Oct 2020 03:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.3
02 Oct 2020 03:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.3
02 Oct 2020 02:30 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
02 Oct 2020 02:30 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
02 Oct 2020 02:30 Hidalgo Mexico  0.3
02 Oct 2020 02:30 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.3
02 Oct 2020 03:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.3
02 Oct 2020 04:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:00 Noham Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:15 Chisahcab Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:15 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:15 Chabihau Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:15 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:00 Huarta Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:15 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:00 Chelem Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 04:00 Progreso Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Hesperides United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Nairn United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Empire United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Sunrise United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Buras United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Ostrica United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Neptune United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Fort Jackson United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Boothville United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Duvic United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 03:45 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 03:45 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 05:00 Limon Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 05:00 Farallones Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 11:45 Happy Jack United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 11:45 Potash United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 09:30 West Point United States  0.2
02 Oct 2020 02:15 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 07:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 11:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 11:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 09:15 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 09:15 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Wounta Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Crucira Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Graytown Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Awastara Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Canco Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Kanko Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Raya Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Clubki Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 06:15 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 06:15 Arrozal Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:45 Dapat Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:45 Cauauira Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 03:45 Cerrito Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 02:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 02:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 03:45 Sisal Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 07:30 Victoria Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 07:00 Chipepte Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Karata Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Limera Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Balfate Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.2
02 Oct 2020 05:15 Claura Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 05:15 Patlaya Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 05:15 Uhi Honduras  0.2
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 05:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 05:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 02:15 Tonala Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 05:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Bruner Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 West Pointe A la Hache United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:45 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 02:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 05:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 02:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:30 Kaski Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Cuero Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:15 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:15 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:30 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:30 Miranda Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 02:30 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:30 El Urraco Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:30 Iriona Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:30 La Puerta Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:00 Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:00 Laguna de Perlas Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:30 Betulia Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 09:15 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.1
02 Oct 2020 09:15 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 La Branche United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 Kenner United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 Metairie United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 Oak Ridge Park United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 West End United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 Lakeview United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 Lake Terrace United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 Gentilly Terrace United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 07:00 Camp Leroy Johnson United States  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:15 Kukra Hill Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Tela Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:15 Colorado Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:15 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 09:45 Monkey River Belize  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:15 San Juan Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:15 El Toro Cuba  0.1
02 Oct 2020 02:30 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 05:45 Laja Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:45 Santa Fe Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:45 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:45 Pital Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:45 Empalme Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:45 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Buenaventura Cuba  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 El Jiqui Cuba  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Playa Giron Cuba  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:00 Donel Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:30 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
02 Oct 2020 09:30 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
02 Oct 2020 06:15 Campeche Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Baranca Belize  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 08:00 Jucaro Cuba  0.1
02 Oct 2020 11:00 Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 10:45 El Bluff Nicaragua  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2020 12:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1