Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-20
Off-shore
06 Oct 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (08 Oct 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.5 m 372 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 212 km/h 0.5 m 538 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

212 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Sep 2020 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2020 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Sep 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Sep 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 30 Sep 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Sep 2020 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Oct 2020 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Oct 2020 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Oct 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Oct 2020 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Oct 2020 00:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Oct 2020 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Oct 2020 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Oct 2020 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Oct 2020 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Oct 2020 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Oct 2020 12:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Oct 2020 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Oct 2020 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Oct 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 04 Oct 2020 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 04 Oct 2020 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Oct 2020 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 05 Oct 2020 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 05 Oct 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 05 Oct 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 06 Oct 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 06 Oct 2020 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 06 Oct 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 06 Oct 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Sep 2020 06:00 350 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Sep 2020 12:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 29 Sep 2020 18:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Sep 2020 00:00 388 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Sep 2020 06:00 295 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 30 Sep 2020 12:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 30 Sep 2020 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Oct 2020 00:00 228 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Oct 2020 06:00 236 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Oct 2020 12:00 226 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Oct 2020 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Oct 2020 00:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Oct 2020 06:00 271 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Oct 2020 12:00 265 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Oct 2020 18:00 244 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Oct 2020 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Oct 2020 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Oct 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Oct 2020 18:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Oct 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Oct 2020 06:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Oct 2020 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Oct 2020 18:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 05 Oct 2020 00:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 05 Oct 2020 06:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Oct 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Oct 2020 18:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 06 Oct 2020 00:00 78 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 06 Oct 2020 06:00 44 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 06 Oct 2020 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 06 Oct 2020 18:00 372 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Oct 2020 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Oct 2020 10:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
09 Oct 2020 10:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.5
06 Oct 2020 18:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.5
06 Oct 2020 18:00 Cedros Mexico  0.4
09 Oct 2020 10:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
08 Oct 2020 03:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
07 Oct 2020 00:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.4
07 Oct 2020 01:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.4
07 Oct 2020 01:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.4
07 Oct 2020 12:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
06 Oct 2020 22:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.4
07 Oct 2020 04:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:00 Monteon Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 00:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 23:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 19:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 19:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 22:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 09:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 09:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 00:45 Quinones Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 05:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 21:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 21:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 21:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 21:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 10:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:45 Novillero Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 20:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:00 Chola Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 22:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 22:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 22:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 22:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 21:00 Marmol Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 21:00 Florida Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 21:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 21:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 18:15 San Blas Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 19:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 19:45 Mulege Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 10:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 22:15 La Florida Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 22:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 09:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 19:00 La Lima Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 10:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 19:45 San Jose Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 19:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 19:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 19:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 04:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 20:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 20:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
08 Oct 2020 10:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 22:15 Datilito Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 22:15 La Paz Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 21:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 21:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 08:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.3
07 Oct 2020 19:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 00:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 08:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 08:45 Loreto Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 20:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 20:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 20:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 20:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 08:45 Barron Mexico  0.3
09 Oct 2020 12:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 21:15 Altata Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 21:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 23:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 23:15 Cunano Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 07:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 23:00 Chamela Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 08:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 21:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 20:45 El Tule Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 20:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 09:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 09:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 05:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 06:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:00 El Real Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:00 Apisa Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:00 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 20:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 04:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 09:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 20:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 09:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 09:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 14:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 09:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 09:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 21:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 21:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 08:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 21:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 09:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 19:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 20:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 21:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 21:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 00:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 20:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 10:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 07:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 08:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 21:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 23:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 23:30 Santiago Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 23:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 11:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 21:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 08:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 19:15 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 19:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2020 21:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 20:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 20:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 20:15 Corrales Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 20:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 20:15 Ipala Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 22:00 San Telmo Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 07:30 Pizota Mexico  0.2
07 Oct 2020 21:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2020 20:45 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2020 07:30 Maruata Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2020 08:15 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 11:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 15:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1