Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (20 Sep 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.3 m 423 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.5 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2020 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 22 Sep 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Sep 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 23 Sep 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Sep 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 24 Sep 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 25 Sep 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 25 Sep 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Sep 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Sep 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico234056 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2020 12:00 549 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 00:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 22 Sep 2020 00:00 348 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2020 12:00 296 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Sep 2020 00:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Sep 2020 12:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Sep 2020 00:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Sep 2020 12:00 408 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 25 Sep 2020 00:00 289 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 12 25 Sep 2020 12:00 241 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Sep 2020 00:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Sep 2020 12:00 423 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2020 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2020 23:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
24 Sep 2020 08:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
21 Sep 2020 04:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
24 Sep 2020 08:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
20 Sep 2020 23:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:15 Empalme Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 El Barril Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 Tripui Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:45 Liliba Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 Mulege Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2020 18:00 Cedros Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 08:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 San Jose Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 07:45 Novillero Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 07:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 07:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:45 Loreto Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 Ligui Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 07:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 07:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 08:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 08:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 08:15 Datilito Mexico  0.3
25 Sep 2020 08:15 La Paz Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 22:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
23 Sep 2020 11:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
23 Sep 2020 11:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 08:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 09:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 23:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 08:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 08:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 08:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 21:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 08:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 08:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
26 Sep 2020 06:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 22:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 22:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 08:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 08:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 08:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 08:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 09:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 22:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 22:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 22:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 21:45 Marmol Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 08:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 09:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 09:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 07:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 09:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 09:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 09:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 22:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 22:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 22:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 21:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
26 Sep 2020 06:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 22:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 22:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 09:00 Pizota Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 22:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 20:45 Chola Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 09:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 08:45 Corrales Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 08:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 08:45 Ipala Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 08:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 08:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 08:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 21:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 21:45 Cunano Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 21:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2020 09:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2020 09:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
25 Sep 2020 21:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 21:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 21:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 21:45 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2020 09:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 22:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 22:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 22:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link