Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
21 Sep 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (21 Sep 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.5 m 287 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.5 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2020 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico227 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2020 12:00 549 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 00:00 377 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2020 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2020 04:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
21 Sep 2020 04:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
21 Sep 2020 04:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 04:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 04:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 04:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 03:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1