Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LOWELL-20 Off-shore from 20 Sep 2020 21:00 UTC to 25 Sep 2020 21:00 UTC

25 Sep 2020 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (28 Sep 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	65 km/h	0.3 m	241 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	79 km/h	0.5 m	736 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	20 Sep 2020 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	20 Sep 2020 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Sep 2020 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Sep 2020 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	22 Sep 2020 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	22 Sep 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Sep 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	23 Sep 2020 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Sep 2020 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	24 Sep 2020 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	25 Sep 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	25 Sep 2020 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	20 Sep 2020 00:00	145	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	20 Sep 2020 12:00	549	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Sep 2020 00:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Sep 2020 12:00	292	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	22 Sep 2020 00:00	348	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	22 Sep 2020 12:00	296	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Sep 2020 00:00	135	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	23 Sep 2020 12:00	190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Sep 2020 00:00	182	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	24 Sep 2020 12:00	408	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	25 Sep 2020 00:00	289	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
12	25 Sep 2020 12:00	368	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2020 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Sep 2020 09:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 03:30	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.3
	26 Sep 2020 22:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 03:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2020 22:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2020 22:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 22:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 01:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 04:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 01:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 01:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2020 20:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:15	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:15	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:15	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:30	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2020 20:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2020 20:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2020 20:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	25 Sep 2020 20:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:15	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 06:15	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 00:30	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 21:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 20:15	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 20:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 10:45	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 10:45	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 21:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 21:00	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 21:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	26 Sep 2020 06:30	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 10:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 10:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 20:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 21:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 20:45	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 20:30	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	25 Sep 2020 20:30	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1