Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (20 Sep 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 47 km/h 0.3 m 145 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.5 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico1,872 
50-100 mmMexico170,506 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 469 2 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2020 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2020 07:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2020 08:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 07:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 08:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 06:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 07:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 08:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 08:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 06:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 06:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 07:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 06:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 06:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 07:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 08:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 08:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 06:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 08:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 07:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 07:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 07:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 07:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 08:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 07:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 05:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 05:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 07:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 07:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 07:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 12:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 08:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 06:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 07:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 07:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 05:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1