Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIO-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (07 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 61 km/h 0.2 m 563 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 122 km/h 0.2 m 563 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Sep 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

563 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico5676 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2020 18:00 205 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 2 06 Sep 2020 00:00 128 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 06 Sep 2020 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2020 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Sep 2020 18:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2020 00:00 563 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Puerto Charley, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Sep 2020 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Sep 2020 06:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 11:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 11:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 11:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 23:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 23:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 23:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 02:00 Salinas Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 02:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 02:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2020 14:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2020 14:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2020 14:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 08:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 08:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 05:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 01:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 18:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2020 19:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2020 19:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 01:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
07 Sep 2020 01:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2020 19:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 19:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 11:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 11:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 06:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 07:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 00:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 00:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 19:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 07:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 05:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 19:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 14:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 11:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 11:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 12:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 11:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 06:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 06:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 21:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 21:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 21:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 02:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 11:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 23:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 01:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 02:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 01:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 13:30 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 13:30 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 13:30 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 04:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 04:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 04:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 04:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 17:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 07:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 10:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 10:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 10:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 06:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 23:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 23:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 05:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 21:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 03:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link